Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees v Pittsburgh Pirates

Início: 2026-07-20 23:06 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 8–5 Pittsburgh Pirates

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Previsão 50.86%1.97odd justa
EV -1.33%
Vantagem -0.686%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.33%50.88%51.05%53.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.731.851.851.9457.80%54.01%54.05%51.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Previsão 49.14%2.04odd justa
EV +1.23%
Vantagem +0.596%
Kelly +1.16%
Crescimento +0.014%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.87%49.12%48.95%50.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.951.952.0655.56%51.19%51.28%48.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Yankees (Local): 50.86%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 49.14%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.04. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.06, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.23%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV +1.23%E +0.596%K +1.16%G +0.014%2.0%2026-07-20 06:45
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -8.45%E -4.69%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV +0.244%E +0.120%K +0.235%G +0.001%4.6%2026-07-20 22:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -8.45%E -4.69%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV +0.244%E +0.120%K +0.235%G +0.001%4.6%2026-07-20 22:35
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.96%E -5.01%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -0.739%E -0.366%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.96%E -5.01%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -0.739%E -0.366%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.96%E -5.01%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -0.739%E -0.366%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 23:05
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.96%E -5.01%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -0.739%E -0.366%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -8.96%E -5.01%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -0.739%E -0.366%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-20 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.23%E -0.612%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-20 22:45
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -1.72%E -0.861%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-20 22:20
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.45%E -4.69%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.72%E -0.861%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 22:45
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.98%E -5.64%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -1.72%E -0.861%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-20 23:05
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.98%E -5.64%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -1.72%E -0.861%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-20 23:05
DraftKings🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.79%EV -9.47%E -5.32%K -12.14%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.21%EV -2.21%E -1.11%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-20 23:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.84%E -0.953%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.70%E -1.37%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-20 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.84%E -0.953%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.70%E -1.37%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-20 23:05
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.84%E -0.953%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.70%E -1.37%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-20 23:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.70%E -1.37%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-20 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -10.49%E -5.96%K -13.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -2.70%E -1.37%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-20 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.94%EV -10.49%E -5.96%K -13.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -2.70%E -1.37%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-20 23:05
Everygame🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.84%E -0.953%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.20%E -1.62%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-20 23:04
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.20%E -1.62%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 22:45
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.20%E -1.62%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.42%E -3.49%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.20%E -1.62%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 22:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.45%E -4.69%K -10.56%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.20%E -1.62%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-20 13:25
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -10.49%E -5.96%K -13.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -3.20%E -1.62%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-20 23:05
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -10.99%E -6.28%K -14.66%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -3.20%E -1.62%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 23:05
BetAnything🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.33%E -0.686%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.69%E -1.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-20 23:05
BetUS🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -1.33%E -0.686%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -3.69%E -1.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-20 22:40
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -3.69%E -1.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-20 22:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -7.43%E -4.08%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -3.69%E -1.88%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 22:50
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.36%E -1.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 23:04
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 20:10
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 23:00
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 19:24
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 21:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 23:05
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-20 18:55
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 23:00
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 23:00
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 23:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.18%E -2.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 20:30
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.67%E -2.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-20 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.67%E -2.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 18:50
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.67%E -2.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.86%EV -12.01%E -6.94%K -16.45%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.14%EV -4.67%E -2.41%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.92%E -3.78%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -5.65%E -2.94%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -1.84%E -0.953%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -6.14%E -3.22%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-20 23:05
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.22%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.14%E -3.22%K -6.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-20 23:00
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -3.87%E -2.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -6.14%E -3.22%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 23:05
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.14%E -3.22%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-20 20:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.14%E -3.22%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-20 20:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.14%E -3.22%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-20 20:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.36%E -1.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.64%E -3.49%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 17:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -3.36%E -1.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -7.62%E -4.05%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 23:05
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.86%E -1.50%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.11%E -4.34%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 23:04
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.89%E -2.62%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.11%E -4.34%K -9.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-20 23:00
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -3.36%E -1.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 22:59
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -3.36%E -1.77%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 22:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.91%E -3.19%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.09%E -4.91%K -10.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-20 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -7.43%E -4.08%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.28%EV -11.55%E -6.42%K -14.44%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-20 23:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-07-20 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-07-20 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-07-20 23:05
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-20 22:35
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-20 22:45
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-07-20 22:50
BetOpenly1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-07-20 23:04
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%1.6%2026-07-20 23:05
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%1.8%2026-07-20 23:05
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%3.0%2026-07-20 23:05