Language:English
New York Yankees v Minnesota Twins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Yankees (Local)
Prediction 57.43%1.74fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -2.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.58%57.46%57.40%58.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.661.651.7162.50%60.37%60.61%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Twins (Visit)
Prediction 42.57%2.35fair odd
EV +0.051%
Edge +0.022%
Kelly +0.038%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.03%42.54%42.60%43.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.262.252.3546.51%44.29%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 57.43%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 42.57%. For Minnesota Twins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.349. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.350, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.051%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -3.53%E -2.10%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV +0.051%E +0.022%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-04 16:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -4.10%E -2.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV +0.051%E +0.022%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-04 16:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.53%E -2.10%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.375%E -0.160%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-04 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.95%E -1.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.800%E -0.343%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-04 15:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.53%E -2.10%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.23%E -0.528%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-04 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.53%E -2.10%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.23%E -0.528%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-04 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -4.10%E -2.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -1.23%E -0.528%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 17:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.80%E -1.05%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.08%E -0.903%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-04 17:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.95%E -1.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.08%E -0.903%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-04 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.10%E -2.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.08%E -0.903%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-04 14:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.08%E -0.903%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.08%E -0.903%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.08%E -0.903%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 17:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.12%E -5.07%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.08%E -0.903%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 12:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.82%E -3.55%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.82%E -3.55%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 17:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.82%E -3.55%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 17:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.82%E -3.55%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 17:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.82%E -3.55%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 17:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.82%E -3.55%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.40%E -3.92%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.40%E -3.92%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 17:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.40%E -3.92%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.40%E -3.92%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 17:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.10%E -2.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.35%E -1.48%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.67%E -2.82%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -3.35%E -1.48%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 17:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.53%E -2.10%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.78%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.10%E -2.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.78%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 17:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.78%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 16:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.38%E -1.40%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.95%E -1.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.53%E -2.10%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 15:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.10%E -2.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.10%E -2.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.10%E -2.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 15:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.10%E -2.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 15:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.10%E -2.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 15:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 15:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 15:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 15:45 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 16:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.82%E -3.55%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 15:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.10%E -2.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -4.63%E -2.07%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.63%E -2.07%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 17:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.67%E -2.82%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.06%E -2.27%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.55%E -4.69%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.06%E -2.27%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 17:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -2.95%E -1.75%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.48%E -2.47%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-04 17:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.67%E -2.82%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.48%E -2.47%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.67%E -2.82%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.48%E -2.47%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 15:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.10%E -2.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 15:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.10%E -2.46%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.67%E -2.82%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.82%E -3.55%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.97%E -4.30%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 15:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.97%E -4.30%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 17:23 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.97%E -4.30%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 17:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.46%E -3.94%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 17:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.46%E -3.94%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 17:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.82%E -3.55%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.46%E -3.94%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 17:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-07-04 17:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01% | 0.9% | 2026-07-04 17:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-07-04 14:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.6% | 2026-07-04 17:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-07-04 17:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36% | 2.6% | 2026-07-04 17:35 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 17:34 |