مدرسة الاحتمالات

New York Yankees v Minnesota Twins

البداية: 2026-07-04 17:36 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: New York Yankees 4–11 Minnesota Twins

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

New York Yankees (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.43%1.74السعر العادل
EV -1.80%
الأفضلية -1.05%
Kelly -2.54%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.58%57.46%57.40%58.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.601.661.651.7162.50%60.37%60.61%58.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Minnesota Twins (الضيف)

التنبؤ 42.57%2.35السعر العادل
EV +0.051%
الأفضلية +0.022%
Kelly +0.038%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.03%42.54%42.60%43.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.262.252.3546.51%44.29%44.44%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -3.53%E -2.10%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV +0.051%E +0.022%K +0.038%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-04 16:50
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -4.10%E -2.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV +0.051%E +0.022%K +0.038%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 16:35
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.53%E -2.10%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.375%E -0.160%K -0.279%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-04 17:30
1xBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.95%E -1.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.800%E -0.343%K -0.602%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-04 15:55
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.53%E -2.10%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.23%E -0.528%K -0.929%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-04 17:30
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.53%E -2.10%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.23%E -0.528%K -0.929%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-04 17:30
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -4.10%E -2.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -1.23%E -0.528%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 17:35
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.80%E -1.05%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.08%E -0.903%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-04 17:30
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.95%E -1.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.08%E -0.903%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-04 17:30
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.10%E -2.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.08%E -0.903%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-04 14:45
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.08%E -0.903%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 15:25
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.08%E -0.903%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 17:35
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.08%E -0.903%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 17:35
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.12%E -5.07%K -13.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.08%E -0.903%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:50
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.82%E -3.55%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.82%E -3.55%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 17:35
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.82%E -3.55%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 17:35
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.82%E -3.55%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 17:35
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.82%E -3.55%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 17:35
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.82%E -3.55%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 17:35
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.40%E -3.92%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 17:35
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.40%E -3.92%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 17:35
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.40%E -3.92%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 17:35
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.40%E -3.92%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.93%E -1.28%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 17:35
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.10%E -2.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.35%E -1.48%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 17:20
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -4.67%E -2.82%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -3.35%E -1.48%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 17:33
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.53%E -2.10%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.78%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 15:25
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.10%E -2.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.78%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 17:30
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.78%E -1.67%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.38%E -1.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-04 15:25
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.95%E -1.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-04 17:25
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.53%E -2.10%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-04 15:14
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.10%E -2.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 17:20
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.10%E -2.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.10%E -2.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 15:40
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.10%E -2.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 15:40
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.10%E -2.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 15:40
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 16:45
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 15:30
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 16:30
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 15:30
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 15:45
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 15:45
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 16:15
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.82%E -3.55%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 15:30
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.10%E -2.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -4.63%E -2.07%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 17:25
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.63%E -2.07%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 17:29
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.67%E -2.82%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.06%E -2.27%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 15:25
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -7.55%E -4.69%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.93%EV -5.06%E -2.27%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 17:35
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -2.95%E -1.75%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.48%E -2.47%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-04 17:29
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.67%E -2.82%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.48%E -2.47%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 15:15
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.67%E -2.82%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.48%E -2.47%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 15:15
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.10%E -2.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 15:55
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.10%E -2.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 17:35
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.67%E -2.82%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 17:35
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.82%E -3.55%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 17:25
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.97%E -4.30%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 15:25
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.97%E -4.30%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 17:23
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.97%E -4.30%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 17:35
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.46%E -3.94%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 17:35
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.46%E -3.94%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 17:24
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -5.82%E -3.55%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.46%E -3.94%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 17:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-07-04 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-07-04 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-07-04 17:35
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-07-04 17:30
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 42.12%1.0%2026-07-04 17:25
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-07-04 14:45
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.6%2026-07-04 17:35
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-07-04 17:35
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%2.6%2026-07-04 17:35
BetOpenly1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%3.0%2026-07-04 17:34