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New York Yankees v Miami Marlins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Yankees (Local)
Prediction 72.03%1.39fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.965%
Kelly -3.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.79%71.96%72.03%72.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.331.321.3776.92%75.33%75.76%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visit)
Prediction 27.97%3.57fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.517%
Kelly -0.723%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.33%28.04%27.97%29.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.393.403.5130.30%29.49%29.41%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 72.03%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 27.97%. For New York Yankees (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.37, with an expected value of -1.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -1.32%E -0.965%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-05 20:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -1.32%E -0.965%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-05 20:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.79%EV -1.32%E -0.965%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV -7.13%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-05 20:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -2.04%E -1.50%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-05 20:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -2.04%E -1.50%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -6.57%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-05 20:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -2.76%E -2.05%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -6.57%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-05 20:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.76%E -2.05%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 20:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.76%E -2.05%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-05 20:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-05 20:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:28 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 20:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-05 21:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.67%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.33%EV -1.82%E -0.517%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-05 20:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 20:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 20:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 20:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 20:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 20:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 20:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 20:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 20:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 20:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 20:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 20:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 20:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 20:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 20:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 20:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-05 20:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -5.64%E -4.31%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -3.21%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 20:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 20:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 20:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 20:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 20:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 20:28 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 20:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 21:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-04-05 20:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57% | 4.5% | 2026-04-05 21:05 |