A Escola das Odds

New York Yankees v Miami Marlins

Início: 2026-04-05 21:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Previsão 72.03%1.39odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -0.965%
Kelly -3.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.79%71.96%72.03%72.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.301.331.321.3776.92%75.33%75.76%72.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Previsão 27.97%3.57odd justa
EV -1.82%
Vantagem -0.517%
Kelly -0.723%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.33%28.04%27.97%29.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.393.403.5130.30%29.49%29.41%28.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -1.32%E -0.965%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-05 20:30
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 71.40%EV -1.32%E -0.965%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.60%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-05 20:30
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.79%EV -1.32%E -0.965%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.21%EV -7.13%E -2.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 20:30
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -2.04%E -1.50%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-05 20:54
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -2.04%E -1.50%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -6.57%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 20:29
MyBookie.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -2.76%E -2.05%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -6.57%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 20:54
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.76%E -2.05%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 20:30
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.76%E -2.05%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 20:30
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.49%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 20:50
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 20:29
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 20:28
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 20:29
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 20:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 20:29
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 20:49
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 20:29
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 20:30
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 21:05
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 72.67%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.33%EV -1.82%E -0.517%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 20:50
Coolbet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 20:30
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 20:30
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 20:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 20:29
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 20:30
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 20:30
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 20:30
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 20:30
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 20:29
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 20:29
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 20:30
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 20:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 20:29
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 20:30
Bally Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 20:30
Dabble (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 20:30
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -5.64%E -4.31%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -3.21%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 20:49
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 20:30
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 20:29
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 20:30
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 20:30
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 20:28
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-05 20:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-05 21:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-04-05 20:59
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%4.5%2026-04-05 21:05