Language:English
New York Yankees v Miami Marlins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Yankees (Local)
Prediction 59.64%1.68fair odd
EV -0.405%
Edge -0.243%
Kelly -0.605%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.21%59.68%59.62%61.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.611.611.6764.52%62.21%62.11%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Miami Marlins (Visit)
Prediction 40.36%2.48fair odd
EV +0.906%
Edge +0.362%
Kelly +0.604%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.42%40.32%40.38%41.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.272.352.352.5044.05%42.49%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 59.64%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 40.36%. For Miami Marlins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.906%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.97%E -4.46%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +0.906%E +0.362%K +0.604%G +0.005% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 06:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.60%E -0.968%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -2.32%E -0.960%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-03 17:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.60%E -0.968%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -2.32%E -0.960%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-03 17:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.32%E -0.960%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-03 17:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -2.73%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-03 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.60%E -0.968%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-03 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.60%E -0.968%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-03 17:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.98%E -2.47%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 17:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.98%E -2.47%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 17:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.98%E -2.47%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 17:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 17:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.18%E -3.26%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-03 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.77%E -3.65%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.77%E -3.65%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 17:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.37%E -4.06%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.56%E -4.88%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -3.53%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -0.405%E -0.243%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -3.94%E -1.65%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-03 16:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.37%E -4.06%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.94%E -1.65%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-03 17:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.74%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.98%E -2.47%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 17:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.98%E -2.47%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-03 17:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 17:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 17:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-03 17:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.18%E -3.26%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.77%E -3.65%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 17:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.77%E -3.65%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 17:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.37%E -4.06%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 17:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.98%E -2.47%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.55%E -2.37%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.79%E -1.71%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.96%E -2.56%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.79%E -1.71%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.96%E -2.56%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.36%E -2.74%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.36%E -2.74%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.36%E -2.74%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.36%E -2.74%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.36%E -2.74%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.36%E -2.74%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.36%E -2.74%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.98%E -2.47%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.36%E -2.74%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 17:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.60%E -0.968%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.17%E -3.12%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.17%E -3.12%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 16:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.17%E -3.12%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.17%E -3.12%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.17%E -3.12%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.17%E -3.12%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 17:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.17%E -3.12%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-03 17:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.77%E -3.65%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.17%E -3.12%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 17:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.37%E -4.06%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.17%E -3.12%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 17:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.56%E -4.88%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.17%E -3.12%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 17:07 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.79%E -1.71%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.97%E -3.50%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-03 17:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -2.79%E -1.71%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -8.38%E -3.69%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -2.79%E -1.71%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -8.38%E -3.69%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-03 17:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.71% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 40.29% | -0.3% | 2026-04-03 17:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-04-03 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-04-03 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-04-03 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 0.6% | 2026-04-03 17:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.14% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.86% | 0.8% | 2026-04-03 17:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15% | 1.3% | 2026-04-03 17:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-04-03 17:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 17:35 |