A Escola das Odds

New York Yankees v Miami Marlins

Início: 2026-04-03 17:36 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Previsão 59.64%1.68odd justa
EV -0.405%
Vantagem -0.243%
Kelly -0.605%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.21%59.68%59.62%61.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.551.611.611.6764.52%62.21%62.11%59.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Miami Marlins (Visitante)

Previsão 40.36%2.48odd justa
EV +0.906%
Vantagem +0.362%
Kelly +0.604%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.42%40.32%40.38%41.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.272.352.352.5044.05%42.49%42.55%40.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -6.97%E -4.46%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +0.906%E +0.362%K +0.604%G +0.005%4.1%2026-04-03 06:05
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.60%E -0.968%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -2.32%E -0.960%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-03 17:20
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.60%E -0.968%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -2.32%E -0.960%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-03 17:34
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -2.32%E -0.960%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-03 17:20
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -2.73%E -1.13%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.60%E -0.968%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-03 17:20
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.60%E -0.968%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-03 17:20
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.98%E -2.47%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 17:24
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.98%E -2.47%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 17:25
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.98%E -2.47%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 17:20
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 17:34
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 17:25
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-03 17:30
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.18%E -3.26%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-03 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.77%E -3.65%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 17:25
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.77%E -3.65%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 17:25
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.37%E -4.06%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:30
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.56%E -4.88%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 17:25
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -3.53%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 17:25
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -0.405%E -0.243%K -0.605%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -3.94%E -1.65%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-03 16:54
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.37%E -4.06%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.94%E -1.65%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 17:35
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.74%E -2.01%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 17:35
Fanatics1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.98%E -2.47%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 17:24
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.98%E -2.47%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 17:24
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 17:34
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 17:29
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 17:30
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 17:29
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.18%E -3.26%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:30
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.77%E -3.65%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 17:34
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.77%E -3.65%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 17:34
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.37%E -4.06%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.15%E -2.19%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 17:34
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.98%E -2.47%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.55%E -2.37%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 17:15
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.79%E -1.71%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.96%E -2.56%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 17:15
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -2.79%E -1.71%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -5.96%E -2.56%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-03 17:15
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.36%E -2.74%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 17:15
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.36%E -2.74%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 17:15
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.36%E -2.74%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.36%E -2.74%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 17:15
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.36%E -2.74%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 17:15
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.36%E -2.74%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 17:15
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -6.36%E -2.74%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 17:15
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -3.98%E -2.47%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.36%E -2.74%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 17:25
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.60%E -0.968%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -7.17%E -3.12%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 17:30
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.17%E -3.12%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 16:20
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.17%E -3.12%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 17:15
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.17%E -3.12%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 17:15
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.17%E -3.12%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 17:15
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.39%E -2.09%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.17%E -3.12%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 17:15
Dabble (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.17%E -3.12%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-03 17:25
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.77%E -3.65%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.17%E -3.12%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 17:24
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.37%E -4.06%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.17%E -3.12%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 17:34
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.56%E -4.88%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.17%E -3.12%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 17:07
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.79%E -1.71%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.97%E -3.50%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 17:29
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -2.79%E -1.71%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -8.38%E -3.69%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:30
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -2.79%E -1.71%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -8.38%E -3.69%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 17:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.71%2.49I 40.16%NM 40.29%-0.3%2026-04-03 17:34
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-04-03 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-04-03 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-04-03 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%0.6%2026-04-03 17:35
Novig1.65I 60.61%NM 60.14%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.86%0.8%2026-04-03 17:35
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-04-03 17:10
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.85%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.15%1.3%2026-04-03 17:35
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-04-03 17:35
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%3.3%2026-04-03 17:35