The School of Odds

New York Yankees v Los Angeles Dodgers

2026-07-19 23:21 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Prediction 47.91%2.09fair odd
EV -0.818%
Edge -0.395%
Kelly -0.764%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.12%47.92%47.91%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.881.982.002.0753%50%50%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit)

Prediction 52.09%1.92fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.546%
Kelly -1.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.08%52.09%52.88%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.741.821.831.9057%55%55%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -0.818%E -0.395%K -0.764%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -3.12%E -1.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 17:59
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.78%E -0.866%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.60%E -1.39%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-18 17:55
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.26%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.60%E -1.39%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 17:45
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.26%E -1.11%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17%EV -2.60%E -1.39%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 17:45
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.21%E -1.59%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 21:00
MyBookie.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.17%E -2.09%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.64%E -1.97%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 17:49
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.17%E -2.09%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 17:50
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.17%E -2.09%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 18:34
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.17%E -2.09%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 18:35
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.17%E -2.09%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 19:25
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.17%E -2.09%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 17:45
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.17%E -2.09%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 18:05
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.17%E -2.09%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 18:05
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.17%E -2.09%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 18:05
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -5.13%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.12%E -1.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 20:45
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.13%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.16%E -2.26%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-18 18:05
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.13%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 17:50
Betr (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.13%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.68%E -2.56%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 18:05
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.13%E -2.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.20%E -2.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 18:00
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.09%E -3.11%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.20%E -2.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 17:53
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.57%E -3.37%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.64%E -1.97%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:45
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.57%E -3.37%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.25%E -3.47%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 17:49
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -8.48%E -4.44%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -7.81%E -4.41%K -10.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 19:10
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.96%E -4.72%K -9.96%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.04%E -0.546%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 17:45
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -9.44%E -5.00%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%EV -8.85%E -5.06%K -11.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 17:50
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -9.92%E -5.28%K -11.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -9.37%E -5.39%K -12.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 47.01%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.99%-0.1%2026-07-18 17:45
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-18 17:45
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%10.1%2026-07-18 17:50
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 47.74%1.69I 59.17%NM 52.26%13.2%2026-07-18 21:10