La escuela de los momios

New York Yankees v Los Angeles Dodgers

Inicio: 2026-07-19 23:21 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 2–1 Los Angeles Dodgers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 44.23%2.26momio equitativo
EV +0.854%
Ventaja +0.375%
Kelly +0.667%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.11%44.77%44.15%49.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.842.152.162.2854.35%46.54%46.40%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 55.77%1.79momio equitativo
EV +3.72%
Ventaja +2.00%
Kelly +4.33%
Crecimiento +0.161%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.79%55.23%55.85%57.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.721.711.8662.50%58.26%58.48%53.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -15.07%E -7.85%K -16.38%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV +3.72%E +2.00%K +4.33%G +0.161%5.8%2026-07-19 23:20
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -13.74%E -7.05%K -14.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV +2.05%E +1.12%K +2.47%G +0.051%5.9%2026-07-19 23:20
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -9.32%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +0.378%E +0.210%K +0.473%G +0.002%4.3%2026-07-19 23:20
Unibet (UK)2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -10.20%E -5.03%K -9.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV +0.378%E +0.210%K +0.473%G +0.002%4.8%2026-07-19 23:20
theScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -0.737%E -0.414%K -0.945%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 22:15
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -18.61%E -10.11%K -22.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -0.737%E -0.414%K -0.945%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-19 23:20
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -3.13%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.29%E -0.731%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-19 22:55
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.36%E -0.609%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.41%E -1.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-19 23:19
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -8.88%E -4.31%K -8.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -2.41%E -1.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-19 23:20
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.32%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.41%E -1.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 23:15
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.32%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.41%E -1.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 23:15
BetUS2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.80%E -0.811%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.97%E -1.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-19 22:30
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.68%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.97%E -1.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-19 23:20
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.45%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.97%E -1.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 23:20
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.11%E -3.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.53%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 16:40
GTbets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +0.854%E +0.375%K +0.667%G +0.006%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-19 23:15
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -0.473%E -0.210%K -0.378%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-19 23:15
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -0.473%E -0.210%K -0.378%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-19 23:15
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.36%E -0.609%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-19 23:20
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.36%E -0.609%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-19 23:20
MyBookie.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.01%E -1.85%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 23:00
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 23:00
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.22%E -2.94%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 22:50
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.22%E -2.94%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 22:48
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.22%E -2.94%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 22:50
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.68%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 23:20
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.68%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 23:19
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 23:00
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 23:00
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 23:15
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 23:00
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-19 23:00
SportsBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.34%E -2.49%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-19 23:20
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.32%E -4.55%K -8.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 23:20
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.68%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 23:00
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 23:00
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 23:00
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 23:00
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 23:00
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 23:20
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 23:00
Dabble (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 23:00
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.80%E -0.811%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -5.76%E -3.41%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-19 23:10
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.68%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.76%E -3.41%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 23:10
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -3.13%E -1.43%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -5.76%E -3.41%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 23:20
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.76%E -3.41%K -8.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-19 23:19
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 23:00
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 23:20
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 23:00
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 23:20
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 23:00
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 23:20
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 22:50
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 23:20
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 23:20
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -7.11%E -3.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.43%E -4.48%K -11.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 23:19
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -2.68%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -10.77%E -6.73%K -17.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 23:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%0.3%2026-07-19 23:16
BetOpenly2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-07-19 23:19
ProphetX2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%0.9%2026-07-19 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-07-19 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-07-19 23:20
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-07-19 23:20
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-07-19 23:00
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-07-19 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-07-19 23:20
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%8.5%2026-07-19 23:20