Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees v Los Angeles Angels

Kickoff: 2026-04-16 17:36 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 4–11 Los Angeles Angels

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees (Local)

Prediction 72.03%1.39fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -5.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.65%71.96%71.91%73.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.321.321.3676.92%75.50%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visit)

Prediction 27.97%3.57fair odd
EV +0.700%
Edge +0.194%
Kelly +0.269%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.98%28.04%28.09%29.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.413.413.6031.25%29.29%29.33%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 72.03%; Los Angeles Angels (Visit): 27.97%. For Los Angeles Angels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.700%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV +0.700%E +0.194%K +0.269%G +0.002%3.0%2026-04-16 17:20
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.76%EV -3.48%E -2.60%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.24%EV +0.140%E +0.039%K +0.054%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%EV -2.76%E -2.05%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%EV -0.699%E -0.197%K -0.274%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-16 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%EV -2.76%E -2.05%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%EV -0.699%E -0.197%K -0.274%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-16 17:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 17:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:20
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:15
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:20
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:15
LeoVegas🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:15
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:15
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 17:20
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 17:20
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 17:20
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.90%EV -2.04%E -1.50%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 28.10%EV -2.66%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 15:55
GTbets🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.05%EV -2.76%E -2.05%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.95%EV -2.66%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-16 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -5.64%E -4.31%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -3.22%E -0.930%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 15:15
Everygame🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.48%E -2.60%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-16 17:00
FanDuel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 15:15
ReBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 16:35
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 17:06
Fliff🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 17:30
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -3.78%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 16:50
BetUS🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.70%EV -2.76%E -2.05%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.30%EV -4.34%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Coolbet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -4.34%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 17:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.48%E -2.60%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 16:34
theScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.48%E -2.60%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 16:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 16:05
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 15:50
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 16:10
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 15:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 17:25
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 17:34
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 16:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 17:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -5.45%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.76%E -2.05%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-16 13:35
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.76%E -2.05%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-16 13:34
TAB🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.76%E -2.05%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-16 14:05
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.48%E -2.60%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 13:34
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 14:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 13:35
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 13:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.31%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 16:50
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 15:15
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 17:24
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -3.48%E -2.60%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -8.81%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 14:05
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -3.48%E -2.60%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -8.81%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 14:05
PlayUp🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.76%E -2.05%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 17:22
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 13:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.36I 73.53%NM 73.02%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.98%0.7%2026-04-16 17:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-04-16 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-04-16 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-04-16 17:35
Polymarket1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-04-16 14:30
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 72.64%3.61I 27.70%NM 27.36%1.2%2026-04-16 17:35
ProphetX1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-04-16 17:35
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-04-16 17:35
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-04-16 17:35
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%2.8%2026-04-16 17:35