La escuela de los momios

New York Yankees v Los Angeles Angels

Inicio: 2026-04-16 17:36 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 4–11 Los Angeles Angels

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 72.03%1.39momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -1.50%
Kelly -5.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.65%71.96%71.91%73.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.321.321.3676.92%75.50%75.76%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Angels (Visitante)

Predicción 27.97%3.57momio equitativo
EV +0.700%
Ventaja +0.194%
Kelly +0.269%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.98%28.04%28.09%29.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.413.413.6031.25%29.29%29.33%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV +0.700%E +0.194%K +0.269%G +0.002%3.0%2026-04-16 17:20
Pinnacle1.34I 74.63%NM 72.76%EV -3.48%E -2.60%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.24%EV +0.140%E +0.039%K +0.054%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 17:30
BetOnline.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%EV -2.76%E -2.05%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%EV -0.699%E -0.197%K -0.274%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-16 17:35
LowVig.ag1.35I 74.07%NM 72.45%EV -2.76%E -2.05%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%EV -0.699%E -0.197%K -0.274%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-16 17:35
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 17:29
Unibet (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:20
Grosvenor1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:15
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:15
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:20
Casumo1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:15
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:15
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:15
Bally Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:15
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 17:15
Virgin Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 17:20
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 17:20
LiveScore Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 17:20
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.10%E -0.599%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 17:20
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 71.90%EV -2.04%E -1.50%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 28.10%EV -2.66%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 15:55
GTbets1.35I 74.07%NM 72.05%EV -2.76%E -2.05%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.95%EV -2.66%E -0.763%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-16 17:35
SportsBet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -5.64%E -4.31%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -3.22%E -0.930%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 15:15
Everygame1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.48%E -2.60%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-16 17:00
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 15:15
ReBet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 16:35
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 17:06
Fliff1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 17:30
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -3.78%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 16:50
BetUS1.35I 74.07%NM 71.70%EV -2.76%E -2.05%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.30%EV -4.34%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-16 17:00
Coolbet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -4.34%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 17:25
MyBookie.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.48%E -2.60%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 16:34
theScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.48%E -2.60%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 16:05
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 16:05
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 15:50
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 16:10
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 15:50
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 17:25
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 17:34
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 16:10
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 16:10
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 16:10
Dabble (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 17:30
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 13:55
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -5.45%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 17:19
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.92%E -3.73%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.76%E -2.05%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-16 13:35
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.76%E -2.05%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-16 13:34
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.76%E -2.05%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-16 14:05
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.48%E -2.60%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 13:34
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 14:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 13:35
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 13:35
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.64%E -4.31%K -18.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 16:50
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 15:15
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 17:24
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -3.48%E -2.60%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -8.81%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 14:05
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -3.48%E -2.60%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -8.81%E -2.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 14:05
PlayUp1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.76%E -2.05%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 17:22
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.20%E -3.16%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 13:50
Unibet (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.36%E -4.90%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 17:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.36I 73.53%NM 73.02%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.98%0.7%2026-04-16 17:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-04-16 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-04-16 17:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-04-16 17:35
Polymarket1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-04-16 14:30
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 72.64%3.61I 27.70%NM 27.36%1.2%2026-04-16 17:35
ProphetX1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-04-16 17:35
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-04-16 17:35
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-04-16 17:35
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%2.8%2026-04-16 17:35