Language:English
New York Yankees v Kansas City Royals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Yankees (Local)
Prediction 61.46%1.63fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.650%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.73%61.55%61.55%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.561.6166.67%64.36%64.10%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kansas City Royals (Visit)
Prediction 38.54%2.59fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.677%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%38.45%38.45%39.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.472.472.5542.02%40.43%40.49%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 61.46%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 38.54%. For New York Yankees (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.63. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.61, with an expected value of -1.05%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -1.05%E -0.650%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -3.27%E -1.30%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-17 22:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -1.05%E -0.650%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -1.05%E -0.650%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -4.04%E -1.62%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -1.05%E -0.650%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -4.04%E -1.62%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -1.66%E -1.04%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -2.50%E -0.987%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-17 22:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.28%E -1.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -1.73%E -0.677%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-17 21:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.28%E -1.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-17 21:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.89%E -1.83%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-17 22:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.51%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-17 21:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.51%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-17 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.51%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 22:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 21:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 14:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 21:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.42%E -1.78%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.42%E -1.78%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -4.81%E -1.95%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 23:03 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 21:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 21:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 21:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 21:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 21:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 21:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 21:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 21:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.74%E -2.78%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.74%E -2.78%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -4.04%E -1.62%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 20:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.81%E -1.95%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 21:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 21:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 07:48 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 22:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 22:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 22:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.73%E -0.677%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 21:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.73%E -0.677%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 04:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.11%E -0.832%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 20:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.42%E -1.78%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 23:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 22:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 20:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 10:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 20:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 20:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 20:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 20:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 21:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 21:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 21:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.58%E -4.33%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.58%E -4.33%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.81%E -5.20%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.73%E -0.677%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 04:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.81%E -5.20%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 22:57 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 22:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 20:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28% | 1.3% | 2026-04-17 23:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29% | 1.6% | 2026-04-17 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13% | 1.7% | 2026-04-17 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31% | 2.0% | 2026-04-17 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41% | 3.2% | 2026-04-17 23:05 |