A Escola das Odds

New York Yankees v Kansas City Royals

Início: 2026-04-17 23:06 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 4–2 Kansas City Royals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Previsão 61.46%1.63odd justa
EV -1.05%
Vantagem -0.650%
Kelly -1.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.73%61.55%61.55%62.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.551.561.6166.67%64.36%64.10%62.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kansas City Royals (Visitante)

Previsão 38.54%2.59odd justa
EV -1.73%
Vantagem -0.677%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.04%38.45%38.45%39.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.382.472.472.5542.02%40.43%40.49%39.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 60.92%EV -1.05%E -0.650%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.08%EV -3.27%E -1.30%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-17 22:55
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -1.05%E -0.650%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-17 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -1.05%E -0.650%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -4.04%E -1.62%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 22:50
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -1.05%E -0.650%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -4.04%E -1.62%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 22:50
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 61.26%EV -1.66%E -1.04%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.74%EV -2.50%E -0.987%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-17 22:10
Everygame1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -2.28%E -1.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -1.73%E -0.677%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-17 21:35
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -2.28%E -1.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-17 21:10
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.89%E -1.83%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-17 22:49
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.51%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-17 21:35
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.51%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-17 22:00
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.51%E -2.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 22:00
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 21:30
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 14:19
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 21:39
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.42%E -1.78%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 22:00
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.42%E -1.78%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 22:05
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -4.81%E -1.95%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 23:03
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 21:35
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 21:05
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 21:05
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 21:05
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 21:05
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 21:05
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 21:05
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 21:05
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.35%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 22:50
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.74%E -2.78%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 22:50
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.12%E -2.64%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.74%E -2.78%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 22:50
DraftKings1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -4.04%E -1.62%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 20:14
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.81%E -1.95%K -3.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 21:35
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 21:35
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 07:48
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 22:00
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 22:05
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 22:00
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.73%E -3.05%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 22:00
Fanatics1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.73%E -0.677%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 21:30
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.73%E -0.677%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 04:19
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.11%E -0.832%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 20:30
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 22:50
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.42%E -1.78%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 23:00
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 22:55
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.35%E -3.47%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 20:10
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 10:34
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 20:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 20:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 20:25
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.65%E -1.46%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 20:30
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 21:35
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 21:35
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 21:35
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 23:05
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.96%E -3.90%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.28%E -3.48%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 21:30
Dabble (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.58%E -4.33%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.58%E -2.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 23:00
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.58%E -4.33%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 23:05
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.81%E -5.20%K -15.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.73%E -0.677%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 04:30
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.81%E -5.20%K -15.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.51%E -3.13%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 22:57
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-04-17 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-04-17 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-04-17 22:50
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-17 20:25
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-04-17 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-04-17 23:05
BetOpenly1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29%1.6%2026-04-17 23:00
Novig1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.7%2026-04-17 23:05
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-04-17 23:05
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 60.59%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.41%3.2%2026-04-17 23:05