Language:English
New York Yankees v Houston Astros
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Yankees (Local)
Prediction 59.40%1.68fair odd
EV -0.805%
Edge -0.482%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.89%59.49%59.42%61.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.601.601.6765.79%62.59%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Houston Astros (Visit)
Prediction 40.60%2.46fair odd
EV +1.50%
Edge +0.602%
Kelly +1.00%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%40.51%40.58%42.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.352.5045.45%42.59%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 59.40%; Houston Astros (Visit): 40.60%. For Houston Astros (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.50%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV +1.50%E +0.602%K +1.00%G +0.015% | 2.1% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.24%EV -3.18%E -1.95%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.76%EV +0.286%E +0.116%K +0.194%G +0.001% | 1.8% | 2026-08-27 23:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -1.99%E -1.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -0.526%E -0.215%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-08-27 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.12%E -5.96%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.526%E -0.215%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.18%E -1.95%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.34%E -0.551%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-27 21:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.34%E -0.551%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-27 22:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.99%E -1.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.74%E -0.721%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-27 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.59%E -1.58%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -1.74%E -0.721%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.59%E -1.58%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -1.74%E -0.721%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.18%E -1.95%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.56%E -1.07%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-27 23:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.56%E -1.07%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.56%E -1.07%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 15:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.56%E -1.07%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.93%E -5.12%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.56%E -1.07%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 22:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.87%EV -0.805%E -0.482%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 41.13%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-27 21:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.40%E -0.843%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-27 07:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.99%E -1.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.37%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-27 22:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.37%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-27 22:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -1.99%E -1.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-27 20:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-27 22:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-27 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.99%E -1.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.18%E -1.95%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-27 02:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-27 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 11:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-27 11:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.93%E -5.12%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.18%E -1.95%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.99%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-27 22:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.99%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-27 08:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -2.59%E -1.58%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -5.40%E -2.32%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-27 23:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.40%E -2.32%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-27 21:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -5.40%E -2.32%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-27 22:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -8.53%E -5.54%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -5.40%E -2.32%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.80%E -2.50%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-27 07:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.34%E -4.70%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.80%E -2.50%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.34%E -4.70%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.80%E -2.50%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.93%E -5.12%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.80%E -2.50%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.99%E -1.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-27 02:53 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.18%E -1.95%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-27 13:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-27 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-27 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-27 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-27 22:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-27 22:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.34%E -4.70%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.34%E -4.70%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.93%E -5.12%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 22:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-27 22:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -8.53%E -5.54%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -9.71%E -6.39%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.68%E -4.85%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-27 23:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38% | -0.2% | 2026-08-27 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33% | 0.5% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-27 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.3% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.9% | 2026-08-27 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16% | 2.4% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56% | 4.0% | 2026-08-27 23:15 |