Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees v Houston Astros

Inicio: 2026-08-27 23:16 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 1–5 Houston Astros

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 59.40%1.68momio equitativo
EV -0.805%
Ventaja -0.482%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.89%59.49%59.42%61.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.521.601.601.6765.79%62.59%62.50%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Predicción 40.60%2.46momio equitativo
EV +1.50%
Ventaja +0.602%
Kelly +1.00%
Crecimiento +0.015%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.44%40.51%40.58%42.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.352.352.5045.45%42.59%42.55%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Yankees (Local): 59.40%; Houston Astros (Visitante): 40.60%. Para Houston Astros (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.46. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.50%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV +1.50%E +0.602%K +1.00%G +0.015%2.1%2026-08-27 23:15
DraftKings🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.24%EV -3.18%E -1.95%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.76%EV +0.286%E +0.116%K +0.194%G +0.001%1.8%2026-08-27 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.76%EV -1.99%E -1.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 40.24%EV -0.526%E -0.215%K -0.363%G +0.000%1.4%2026-08-27 23:05
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.12%E -5.96%K -17.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.526%E -0.215%K -0.363%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 23:15
Everygame🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.85%EV -3.18%E -1.95%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.15%EV -1.34%E -0.551%K -0.936%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-27 21:45
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -1.34%E -0.551%K -0.936%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-27 22:45
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.99%E -1.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.74%E -0.721%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-27 22:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.59%E -1.58%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -1.74%E -0.721%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-27 23:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV -2.59%E -1.58%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -1.74%E -0.721%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-27 23:15
BetAnything🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.18%E -1.95%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.56%E -1.07%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-27 23:10
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.56%E -1.07%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.56%E -1.07%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 15:00
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.56%E -1.07%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-27 23:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.93%E -5.12%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.56%E -1.07%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 22:30
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.87%EV -0.805%E -0.482%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 41.13%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-27 21:59
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.40%E -0.843%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -2.96%E -1.24%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-27 07:30
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.99%E -1.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.37%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-27 22:35
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.37%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-27 22:45
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -1.99%E -1.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-27 20:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-27 22:50
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -3.77%E -1.59%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-27 22:50
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.99%E -1.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-27 23:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.18%E -1.95%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-27 02:54
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-27 22:50
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 11:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-27 11:45
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 23:15
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 23:15
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 23:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 23:15
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 23:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-27 23:15
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.93%E -5.12%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-27 23:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.18%E -1.95%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.99%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-27 22:55
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.99%E -2.13%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 08:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -2.59%E -1.58%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -5.40%E -2.32%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-27 23:14
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.40%E -2.32%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-27 21:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -5.40%E -2.32%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-27 22:45
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -8.53%E -5.54%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -5.40%E -2.32%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-27 23:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.37%E -2.71%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.80%E -2.50%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-27 07:25
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.34%E -4.70%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.80%E -2.50%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-27 23:15
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.34%E -4.70%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.80%E -2.50%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-27 23:15
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.93%E -5.12%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.80%E -2.50%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-27 23:15
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.99%E -1.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-27 02:53
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.18%E -1.95%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-27 13:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-27 23:15
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-27 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-27 22:50
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.77%E -2.33%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-27 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-27 22:55
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.74%E -4.30%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-27 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.34%E -4.70%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-27 23:15
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.34%E -4.70%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-27 23:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.93%E -5.12%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.62%E -2.88%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-27 23:15
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 23:15
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 22:54
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-27 22:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -8.53%E -5.54%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-27 23:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -9.71%E -6.39%K -18.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -8.65%E -3.84%K -6.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-27 23:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.96%E -3.10%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.68%E -4.85%K -8.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-27 23:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.62%2.48I 40.32%NM 40.38%-0.2%2026-08-27 22:40
Novig◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%0.5%2026-08-27 23:15
ProphetX◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-08-27 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-08-27 23:15
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-27 23:15
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-27 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-08-27 23:15
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.9%2026-08-27 23:10
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%2.4%2026-08-27 23:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%4.0%2026-08-27 23:15