Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.83
assuming max odds 2.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 54.66%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 45.34%. For New York Yankees (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.8296. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.8300, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.019%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV +0.019%E +0.010%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -4.32%E -2.05%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-01 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV +0.019%E +0.010%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV +0.019%E +0.010%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-01 17:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV +0.019%E +0.010%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV +0.019%E +0.010%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -5.23%E -2.50%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-01 17:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV +0.019%E +0.010%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -5.23%E -2.50%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-01 17:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV +0.019%E +0.010%K +0.023%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -5.23%E -2.50%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-01 17:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.07%E -0.593%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -3.42%E -1.60%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.62%E -0.900%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.04%E -3.44%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -2.17%E -1.21%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -6.59%E -3.20%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 17:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.71%E -1.52%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.23%E -2.50%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-01 17:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.71%E -1.52%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.50%E -3.67%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 17:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 17:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 17:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-01 17:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.31%E -4.66%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-01 17:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.81%E -2.16%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-01 17:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.81%E -2.16%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -2.96%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.81%E -2.16%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -2.96%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.81%E -2.16%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -2.96%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.81%E -2.16%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.04%E -3.44%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.35%E -2.49%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.87%E -1.83%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.35%E -2.49%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.87%E -1.83%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.35%E -2.49%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.35%E -2.49%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.35%E -2.49%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 17:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.35%E -2.49%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 17:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.35%E -2.49%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-01 17:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.35%E -2.49%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 17:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.35%E -2.49%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.35%E -2.49%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.31%E -4.66%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.51%E -1.17%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-01 17:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.51%E -1.17%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 17:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.51%E -1.17%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-01 17:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.99%E -3.48%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.54%E -3.82%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.60%E -0.738%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-01 17:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.54%E -3.82%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 17:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.54%E -3.82%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.59%E -3.20%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -8.18%E -4.87%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -6.14%E -2.96%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-01 17:08 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.82%E -5.95%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.242%E -0.110%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-01 02:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.82%E -5.95%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -2.51%E -1.17%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-01 17:29 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-07-01 17:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 0.9% | 2026-07-01 17:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-07-01 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97% | 1.4% | 2026-07-01 17:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-07-01 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70% | 2.0% | 2026-07-01 17:20 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44% | 2.3% | 2026-07-01 17:30 |