Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees v Detroit Tigers

Início: 2026-07-01 17:36 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 2–6 Detroit Tigers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Yankees (Local)

Previsão 54.66%1.83odd justa
EV +0.019%
Vantagem +0.010%
Kelly +0.023%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.05%54.77%54.69%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.751.751.8360.61%57.01%57.14%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Previsão 45.34%2.21odd justa
EV -0.242%
Vantagem -0.110%
Kelly -0.201%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%45.23%45.31%46.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.102.102.2050.00%47.68%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Yankees (Local): 54.66%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 45.34%. Para New York Yankees (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.8296. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.8300, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.019%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV +0.019%E +0.010%K +0.023%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -4.32%E -2.05%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-01 17:30
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV +0.019%E +0.010%K +0.023%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 17:10
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV +0.019%E +0.010%K +0.023%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 17:30
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV +0.019%E +0.010%K +0.023%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-01 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV +0.019%E +0.010%K +0.023%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -5.23%E -2.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-01 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV +0.019%E +0.010%K +0.023%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -5.23%E -2.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-01 17:30
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV +0.019%E +0.010%K +0.023%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -5.23%E -2.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-01 17:30
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.07%E -0.593%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -3.42%E -1.60%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-01 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.62%E -0.900%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.04%E -3.44%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 17:10
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -2.17%E -1.21%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -6.59%E -3.20%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 17:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -2.71%E -1.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -5.23%E -2.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 17:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -2.71%E -1.52%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -7.50%E -3.67%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -2.96%E -1.38%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-01 17:10
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 17:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 17:00
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 17:10
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 17:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 17:00
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.26%E -1.84%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.31%E -4.66%K -9.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-01 17:30
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.81%E -2.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 17:30
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.81%E -2.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -2.96%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.81%E -2.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -2.96%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 17:20
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.81%E -2.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.14%E -2.96%K -5.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 17:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.81%E -2.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.04%E -3.44%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.35%E -2.49%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.87%E -1.83%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.35%E -2.49%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.87%E -1.83%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.35%E -2.49%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.35%E -2.49%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 17:30
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.35%E -2.49%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 17:30
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.35%E -2.49%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 17:30
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.35%E -2.49%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 17:19
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.35%E -2.49%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 17:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.35%E -2.49%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.68%E -2.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 17:10
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.35%E -2.49%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.31%E -4.66%K -9.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 17:10
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.51%E -1.17%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 17:00
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.51%E -1.17%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 17:10
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 17:30
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 17:10
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 17:10
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 17:10
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 17:10
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 17:10
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.90%E -2.82%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.51%E -1.17%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 17:09
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:20
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:10
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.45%E -3.15%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.99%E -3.48%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 17:10
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.54%E -3.82%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.60%E -0.738%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-01 17:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.54%E -3.82%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 17:30
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.54%E -3.82%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -6.59%E -3.20%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.09%E -4.17%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.78%E -2.27%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -8.18%E -4.87%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -6.14%E -2.96%K -5.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-01 17:08
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.82%E -5.95%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.242%E -0.110%K -0.201%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 02:30
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -9.82%E -5.95%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -2.51%E -1.17%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-01 17:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-07-01 17:30
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-07-01 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-01 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-01 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-01 17:20
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-01 17:10
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-07-01 17:30
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-07-01 17:30
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-07-01 17:20
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%2.3%2026-07-01 17:30