Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees v Cincinnati Reds

Kickoff: 2026-06-19 23:06 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 5–0 Cincinnati Reds

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees (Local)

Prediction 70.99%1.41fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.952%
Kelly -3.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.28%70.96%70.96%72.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.351.3976.92%74.22%74.07%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Reds (Visit)

Prediction 29.01%3.45fair odd
EV +0.082%
Edge +0.024%
Kelly +0.033%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.66%29.04%29.04%30.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.273.263.4533.33%30.54%30.67%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 70.99%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 29.01%. For Cincinnati Reds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.447. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.450, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.082%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
ReBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +0.082%E +0.024%K +0.033%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-19 22:59
Fliff🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.29%E -4.77%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.082%E +0.024%K +0.033%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%EV -2.74%E -2.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%EV -1.37%E -0.403%K -0.570%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-19 22:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%EV -2.74%E -2.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%EV -1.37%E -0.403%K -0.570%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-19 23:00
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%EV -2.74%E -2.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%EV -1.37%E -0.403%K -0.570%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-19 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.37%E -0.403%K -0.570%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-19 23:00
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.37%E -0.403%K -0.570%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-19 22:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.37%E -0.403%K -0.570%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 22:39
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%EV -1.32%E -0.952%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%EV -2.82%E -0.842%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-19 22:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.29%E -4.77%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.82%E -0.842%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 23:00
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -3.11%E -0.931%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-19 22:59
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.31%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.69%EV -3.40%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 22:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.88%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.12%EV -3.98%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-19 22:59
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -2.74%E -2.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-19 22:59
Everygame🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -2.74%E -2.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-19 03:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-19 17:50
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-19 05:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-19 21:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-19 15:00
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 22:59
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 22:50
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 22:49
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 22:49
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 22:39
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 22:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.29%E -4.77%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 22:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.00%E -5.35%K -22.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 22:59
Caesars🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -4.85%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-19 12:40
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -5.14%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 19:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 22:59
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 19:30
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 22:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 21:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 21:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 19:30
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 21:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 21:29
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 21:29
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 21:29
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 21:29
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 21:28
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 21:29
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 21:29
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 20:59
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 20:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 20:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 21:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 21:39
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.03%E -1.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-19 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 20:00
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 21:29
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 21:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 21:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 21:29
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 21:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-19 22:59
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -8.91%E -2.84%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -8.91%E -2.84%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 20:39
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.97%E -4.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 22:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-06-19 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-06-19 23:00
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 71.63%3.51I 28.49%NM 28.37%0.4%2026-06-19 21:49
Matchbook1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-06-19 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-06-19 23:00
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-06-19 23:00
Polymarket1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-06-19 22:59
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-06-19 22:30
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-06-19 23:00
BetOpenly1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%2.7%2026-06-19 22:59