La escuela de los momios

New York Yankees v Cincinnati Reds

Inicio: 2026-06-19 23:06 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 5–0 Cincinnati Reds

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 70.99%1.41momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.952%
Kelly -3.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.39

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.28%70.96%70.96%72.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.351.351.3976.92%74.22%74.07%71.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Predicción 29.01%3.45momio equitativo
EV +0.082%
Ventaja +0.024%
Kelly +0.033%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.66%29.04%29.04%30.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.273.263.4533.33%30.54%30.67%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
ReBet1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +0.082%E +0.024%K +0.033%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-19 22:59
Fliff1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.29%E -4.77%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.082%E +0.024%K +0.033%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 22:00
LowVig.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%EV -2.74%E -2.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%EV -1.37%E -0.403%K -0.570%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-19 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%EV -2.74%E -2.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%EV -1.37%E -0.403%K -0.570%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-19 23:00
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%EV -2.74%E -2.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%EV -1.37%E -0.403%K -0.570%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-19 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.37%E -0.403%K -0.570%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-19 23:00
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.37%E -0.403%K -0.570%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-19 22:59
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.37%E -0.403%K -0.570%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 22:39
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%EV -1.32%E -0.952%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%EV -2.82%E -0.842%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-19 22:39
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.29%E -4.77%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.82%E -0.842%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-19 23:00
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -3.11%E -0.931%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-19 22:59
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 71.31%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.69%EV -3.40%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 22:49
MyBookie.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 70.88%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.12%EV -3.98%E -1.20%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-19 22:59
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -2.74%E -2.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-19 22:59
Everygame1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -2.74%E -2.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-19 03:30
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-19 17:50
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-19 05:50
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-19 21:29
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-19 15:00
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 22:59
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 22:50
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 22:49
BetMGM1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 22:49
Bovada1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 22:39
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 22:59
Unibet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.29%E -4.77%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-19 22:59
Winamax (FR)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.00%E -5.35%K -22.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.27%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-19 22:59
Caesars1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -4.85%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-19 12:40
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -5.14%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 19:30
Marathon Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -4.87%E -3.64%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -5.43%E -1.67%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 22:59
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 19:30
BetAnything1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 22:39
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 21:29
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 21:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-19 19:30
Bet Right1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 21:00
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 21:29
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 21:29
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 21:29
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 21:29
Bally Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 21:28
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 21:29
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 21:29
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 20:59
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 20:59
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 20:59
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 21:00
Dabble (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.72%E -1.76%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 21:39
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.03%E -1.47%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-19 18:30
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 20:00
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 21:29
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 21:29
Virgin Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 21:29
LiveScore Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.16%E -3.08%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 21:29
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-19 21:29
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.71%E -5.93%K -25.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.17%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-19 22:59
Betsson1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -8.91%E -2.84%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:30
NordicBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -3.45%E -2.54%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -8.91%E -2.84%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 18:30
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.07%E -3.25%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-19 20:39
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.58%E -4.20%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.97%E -4.32%K -6.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-19 22:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-06-19 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-06-19 23:00
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 71.63%3.51I 28.49%NM 28.37%0.4%2026-06-19 21:49
Matchbook1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-06-19 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-06-19 23:00
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-06-19 23:00
Polymarket1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-06-19 22:59
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-06-19 22:30
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 72.02%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-06-19 23:00
BetOpenly1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%2.7%2026-06-19 22:59