Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees v Chicago White Sox

Kickoff: 2026-06-18 23:11 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 1–5 Chicago White Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees (Local)

Prediction 60.63%1.65fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -2.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.06%60.69%60.53%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.571.571.6266.67%63.73%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 39.37%2.54fair odd
EV +0.394%
Edge +0.155%
Kelly +0.254%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%39.31%39.47%40.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.382.402.5544.44%41.95%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 60.63%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 39.37%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.394%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -3.60%E -2.26%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV +0.394%E +0.155%K +0.254%G +0.001%2.1%2026-06-18 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.06%E -6.04%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.394%E +0.155%K +0.254%G +0.001%5.9%2026-06-18 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.42%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.57%E -0.630%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 23:10
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.24%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.57%E -0.630%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -8.45%E -5.60%K -16.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -2.36%E -0.952%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.78%E -1.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.54%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-18 23:02
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.78%E -1.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.54%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-18 23:02
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.78%E -1.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.54%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-18 23:05
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.78%E -1.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.54%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-18 23:03
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.39%E -1.48%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.54%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-18 23:02
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.60%E -2.26%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.54%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-18 23:04
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.63%E -4.31%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.54%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:10
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.24%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.54%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.24%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.54%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -3.60%E -2.26%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -3.94%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 23:07
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.42%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.33%E -1.78%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:02
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.72%E -1.95%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 23:10
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.12%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 23:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.99%E -1.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-18 23:09
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.99%E -1.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-18 23:08
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 23:04
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 23:07
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 23:07
Unibet (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:10
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:04
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:04
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.42%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.42%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.42%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:10
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.42%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.24%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:10
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.24%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.06%E -6.04%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-18 23:10
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.30%E -2.65%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-18 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.24%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.30%E -2.65%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-18 23:10
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.99%E -1.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.48%E -3.18%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 23:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.48%E -3.18%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:04
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.42%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.48%E -3.18%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-18 23:10
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -6.02%E -3.89%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -7.87%E -3.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-18 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -6.02%E -3.89%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -7.87%E -3.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-18 23:10
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.99%E -1.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -8.27%E -3.55%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.99%E -1.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -8.27%E -3.55%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:10
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.99%E -1.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -8.27%E -3.55%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.99%E -1.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -8.27%E -3.55%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.99%E -1.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -8.27%E -3.55%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.99%E -1.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -8.27%E -3.55%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:10
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.99%E -1.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -8.27%E -3.55%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:10
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-18 23:10
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-18 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.02%E -3.89%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-18 23:08
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.02%E -3.89%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-18 23:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -10.24%E -4.49%K -8.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-18 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -10.24%E -4.49%K -8.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-18 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -5.42%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -10.24%E -4.49%K -8.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-18 23:10
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -5.42%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -11.42%E -5.07%K -9.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-18 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.02%E -3.89%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -11.42%E -5.07%K -9.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-18 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.84%E -5.16%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -11.42%E -5.07%K -9.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-18 23:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 61.79%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.21%-0.1%2026-06-18 23:04
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-06-18 23:10
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-06-18 23:10
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-18 23:10
ProphetX1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%2.1%2026-06-18 23:10
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%6.0%2026-06-18 23:10
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%8.2%2026-06-18 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 70.87%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.13%17.6%2026-06-18 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 67.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 32.09%22.7%2026-06-18 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 73.55%2.92I 34.25%NM 26.45%29.5%2026-06-18 23:10