La escuela de los momios

New York Yankees v Chicago White Sox

Inicio: 2026-06-18 23:11 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 1–5 Chicago White Sox

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 60.63%1.65momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -2.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.06%60.69%60.53%62.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.571.571.6266.67%63.73%63.69%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 39.37%2.54momio equitativo
EV +0.394%
Ventaja +0.155%
Kelly +0.254%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.04%39.31%39.47%40.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.382.402.5544.44%41.95%41.67%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 61.59%EV -3.60%E -2.26%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV +0.394%E +0.155%K +0.254%G +0.001%2.1%2026-06-18 23:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -9.06%E -6.04%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV +0.394%E +0.155%K +0.254%G +0.001%5.9%2026-06-18 23:10
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.42%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.57%E -0.630%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 23:10
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.24%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.57%E -0.630%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:10
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -8.45%E -5.60%K -16.57%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -2.36%E -0.952%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.78%E -1.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.54%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-18 23:02
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.78%E -1.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.54%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-18 23:02
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.78%E -1.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.54%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-18 23:05
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -1.78%E -1.10%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -3.54%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-18 23:03
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.39%E -1.48%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -3.54%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-18 23:02
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.60%E -2.26%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.54%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-18 23:04
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.63%E -4.31%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.54%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:10
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.24%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.54%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.24%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.54%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-18 23:10
MyBookie.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -3.60%E -2.26%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -3.94%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-18 23:07
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.42%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.33%E -1.78%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 23:02
GTbets1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -4.72%E -1.95%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 23:10
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.12%E -2.12%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 23:06
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.99%E -1.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-18 23:09
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.99%E -1.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-18 23:08
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 23:04
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 23:07
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 23:07
Unibet (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:10
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:04
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:04
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:10
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:04
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:04
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.42%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.42%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:04
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.42%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:10
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.42%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:10
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.24%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:10
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.24%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.06%E -6.04%K -18.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-18 23:10
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.30%E -2.65%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-18 23:10
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.24%E -4.73%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.30%E -2.65%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-18 23:10
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.99%E -1.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.48%E -3.18%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 23:04
Dabble (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.48%E -3.18%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 23:04
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.42%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.48%E -3.18%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-18 23:10
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -6.02%E -3.89%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -7.87%E -3.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-18 23:10
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -6.02%E -3.89%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -7.87%E -3.36%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-18 23:10
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.99%E -1.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -8.27%E -3.55%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.99%E -1.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -8.27%E -3.55%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:10
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.99%E -1.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -8.27%E -3.55%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:10
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.99%E -1.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -8.27%E -3.55%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:10
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.99%E -1.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -8.27%E -3.55%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:10
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.99%E -1.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -8.27%E -3.55%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:10
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -2.99%E -1.87%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -8.27%E -3.55%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 23:10
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-18 23:10
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-18 23:10
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-18 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.02%E -3.89%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-18 23:08
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.02%E -3.89%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-18 23:09
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -4.20%E -2.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -10.24%E -4.49%K -8.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-18 23:10
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -4.81%E -3.06%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -10.24%E -4.49%K -8.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-18 23:10
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -5.42%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -10.24%E -4.49%K -8.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-18 23:10
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -5.42%E -3.47%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -11.42%E -5.07%K -9.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-18 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.02%E -3.89%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -11.42%E -5.07%K -9.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-18 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -7.84%E -5.16%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -11.42%E -5.07%K -9.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-18 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.62I 61.73%NM 61.79%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.21%-0.1%2026-06-18 23:04
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-06-18 23:10
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-06-18 23:10
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-06-18 23:10
ProphetX1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%2.1%2026-06-18 23:10
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%6.0%2026-06-18 23:10
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%8.2%2026-06-18 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 70.87%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.13%17.6%2026-06-18 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.20I 83.33%NM 67.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 32.09%22.7%2026-06-18 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 73.55%2.92I 34.25%NM 26.45%29.5%2026-06-18 23:10