Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees v Chicago White Sox

Kickoff: 2026-06-16 23:06 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 12–2 Chicago White Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees (Local)

Prediction 57.25%1.75fair odd
EV -0.960%
Edge -0.555%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.98%57.30%57.27%58.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.671.671.7362.50%59.78%59.88%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Prediction 42.75%2.34fair odd
EV -0.389%
Edge -0.167%
Kelly -0.293%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.56%42.70%42.73%44.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.242.232.3346.51%44.74%44.84%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 57.25%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 42.75%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.33, with an expected value of -0.389%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -0.960%E -0.555%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-16 06:20
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.53%E -0.891%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.53%E -1.11%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-16 22:10
Everygame🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.53%E -0.891%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.53%E -1.11%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-16 22:30
BetUS🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.10%E -1.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-16 20:09
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -0.817%E -0.352%K -0.619%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-16 22:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-16 22:30
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.25%E -1.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.389%E -0.167%K -0.293%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-16 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.25%E -1.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.24%E -0.539%K -0.950%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.25%E -1.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.24%E -0.539%K -0.950%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 22:40
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.25%E -1.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-16 20:20
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.25%E -1.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-16 14:40
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.25%E -1.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.09%E -2.29%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-15 18:10
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.25%E -1.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.09%E -2.29%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-16 18:39
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.25%E -1.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 23:00
BetAnything🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -1.24%E -0.539%K -0.950%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-16 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 21:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 22:10
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.66%E -2.09%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.66%E -2.09%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 22:30
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.66%E -2.09%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 22:30
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.66%E -2.09%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 22:30
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.66%E -2.09%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.66%E -2.09%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 22:30
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.66%E -2.09%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 22:30
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.66%E -2.09%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 22:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.66%E -2.09%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 22:30
SportsBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 11:10
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 17:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 20:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.67%E -0.727%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-16 22:40
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 22:09
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 22:10
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 22:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 22:10
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 20:20
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -4.24%E -1.89%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 20:20
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.09%E -2.29%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 10:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.52%E -2.50%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 18:20
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 19:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:30
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:30
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:30
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.97%E -2.99%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.66%E -2.09%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:30
NordicBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.97%E -2.99%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.09%E -2.29%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:39
Betsson🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.97%E -2.99%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.09%E -2.29%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.97%E -2.99%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 20:20
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.53%E -1.11%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:30
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:30
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 23:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 04:40
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.80%E -3.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 22:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.11%E -3.73%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 20:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.68%E -4.10%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 22:38
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 20:40
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.40%E -5.25%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 22:57
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.95%2.37I 42.19%NM 42.05%0.3%2026-06-16 23:00
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-06-16 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-06-16 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-06-16 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-06-16 22:10
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-06-16 22:40
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-16 01:20
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.6%2026-06-16 22:50
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%2.3%2026-06-16 23:00