La escuela de los momios

New York Yankees v Chicago White Sox

Inicio: 2026-06-16 23:06 UTC

Final: New York Yankees 12–2 Chicago White Sox

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 57.25%1.75momio equitativo
EV -0.960%
Ventaja -0.555%
Kelly -1.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.98%57.30%57.27%58.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.671.671.7362.50%59.78%59.88%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 42.75%2.34momio equitativo
EV -0.389%
Ventaja -0.167%
Kelly -0.293%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.56%42.70%42.73%44.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.242.232.3346.51%44.74%44.84%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -0.960%E -0.555%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-16 06:20
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.53%E -0.891%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.53%E -1.11%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-16 22:10
Everygame1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.53%E -0.891%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.53%E -1.11%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-16 22:30
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.10%E -1.23%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-16 20:09
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -0.817%E -0.352%K -0.619%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-16 22:50
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-16 22:30
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.25%E -1.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.389%E -0.167%K -0.293%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-16 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.25%E -1.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.24%E -0.539%K -0.950%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 22:40
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -3.25%E -1.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -1.24%E -0.539%K -0.950%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 22:40
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.25%E -1.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-16 20:20
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.25%E -1.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-16 14:40
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.25%E -1.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.09%E -2.29%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-15 18:10
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.25%E -1.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.09%E -2.29%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-16 18:39
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.25%E -1.92%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 23:00
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -1.24%E -0.539%K -0.950%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-16 22:50
Unibet (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 21:10
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 22:10
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.66%E -2.09%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.66%E -2.09%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 22:30
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.66%E -2.09%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 22:30
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.66%E -2.09%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 22:30
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.66%E -2.09%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 22:30
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.66%E -2.09%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 22:30
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.66%E -2.09%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 22:30
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.66%E -2.09%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 22:30
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.66%E -2.09%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-16 22:30
SportsBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 11:10
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 17:40
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.82%E -2.28%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 20:20
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.67%E -0.727%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-16 22:40
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 22:09
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 22:10
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 22:10
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 22:10
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 20:20
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -4.24%E -1.89%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 20:20
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.09%E -2.29%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 10:00
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.52%E -2.50%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:10
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 18:20
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-15 19:10
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:30
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:30
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:30
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.39%E -2.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:30
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.97%E -2.99%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.66%E -2.09%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:30
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.97%E -2.99%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.09%E -2.29%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:39
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.97%E -2.99%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.09%E -2.29%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.97%E -2.99%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 20:20
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.53%E -1.11%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-16 22:40
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:30
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:30
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:30
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 22:10
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 23:00
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 04:40
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.54%E -3.36%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.80%E -3.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 22:30
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.11%E -3.73%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 20:20
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.68%E -4.10%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 22:38
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.26%E -4.48%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.95%E -2.70%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 20:40
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.40%E -5.25%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 22:57
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.95%2.37I 42.19%NM 42.05%0.3%2026-06-16 23:00
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-06-16 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-06-16 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-06-16 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-06-16 22:10
ProphetX1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-06-16 22:40
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-06-16 01:20
BetOpenly1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.6%2026-06-16 22:50
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%2.3%2026-06-16 23:00