Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees v Boston Red Sox

Kickoff: 2026-06-07 00:06 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Yankees (Local)

Prediction 50.93%1.96fair odd
EV +0.339%
Edge +0.172%
Kelly +0.350%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.49%50.98%51.05%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.861.871.9755.87%53.66%53.62%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 49.07%2.04fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -0.934%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%49.02%48.95%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.961.962.0053.48%50.96%51.15%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Yankees (Local): 50.93%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 49.07%. For New York Yankees (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.97, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.339%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetAnything🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV +0.339%E +0.172%K +0.350%G +0.001%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -5.30%E -2.75%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-06 23:59
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.170%E -0.087%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -1.95%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-06 23:59
BetUS🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -0.170%E -0.087%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -4.81%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-06 23:59
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.680%E -0.349%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-06 23:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.70%E -0.880%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.85%E -1.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 23:59
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.70%E -0.880%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.85%E -1.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 23:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.70%E -0.880%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.85%E -1.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 23:59
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 23:24
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.23%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.32%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 23:28
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.23%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.79%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 23:59
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.83%E -1.95%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 23:29
Bovada🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.30%E -2.75%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 23:57
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.24%E -2.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-06 23:39
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 23:59
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 23:48
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 23:59
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 16:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 23:29
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 23:39
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.81%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.81%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 23:59
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.30%E -2.75%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 23:29
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-06 23:29
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.26%E -2.83%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.83%E -1.95%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 23:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.26%E -2.83%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.32%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 23:39
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.85%E -1.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-06 20:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.32%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 23:59
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.32%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 23:59
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 23:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 23:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 23:19
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 23:39
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 23:39
LeoVegas🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 23:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 23:39
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 23:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 23:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 23:39
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 23:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 23:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 23:39
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 23:39
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 23:39
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 15:09
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -8.83%E -4.93%K -11.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -3.34%E -1.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-06 23:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-06-06 23:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-06-06 23:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-06-06 23:59
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-06 23:29
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-06 23:20
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%1.5%2026-06-06 23:59
ProphetX1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13%1.8%2026-06-06 23:59
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%5.1%2026-06-06 23:59