La escuela de los momios

New York Yankees v Boston Red Sox

Inicio: 2026-06-07 00:06 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Predicción 50.93%1.96momio equitativo
EV +0.339%
Ventaja +0.172%
Kelly +0.350%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.49%50.98%51.05%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.791.861.871.9755.87%53.66%53.62%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Boston Red Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 49.07%2.04momio equitativo
EV -1.87%
Ventaja -0.934%
Kelly -1.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%49.02%48.95%50.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.871.961.962.0053.48%50.96%51.15%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetAnything1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV +0.339%E +0.172%K +0.350%G +0.001%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -5.30%E -2.75%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-06 23:59
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -0.170%E -0.087%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%EV -3.83%E -1.95%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-06 23:59
BetUS1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -0.170%E -0.087%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -4.81%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-06 23:59
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.680%E -0.349%K -0.715%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.32%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-06 23:29
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.70%E -0.880%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.85%E -1.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 23:59
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.70%E -0.880%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.85%E -1.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 23:59
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.70%E -0.880%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.85%E -1.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-06 23:59
Caesars1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.72%E -1.42%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 23:24
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.23%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.32%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 23:28
Dabble (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.23%E -1.70%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.79%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 23:59
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.83%E -1.95%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-06 23:29
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.74%E -1.98%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.30%E -2.75%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 23:57
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.24%E -2.26%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-06 23:39
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 23:59
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 23:48
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 23:59
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 16:49
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 23:29
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.32%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 23:39
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.81%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.81%E -2.48%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 23:59
SportsBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.30%E -2.75%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 23:29
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.25%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-06 23:29
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.26%E -2.83%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.83%E -1.95%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 23:39
Betr (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.26%E -2.83%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.32%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 23:39
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -2.85%E -1.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-06 20:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.32%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 23:59
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.32%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 23:59
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 23:19
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 23:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.28%E -3.29%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-06 23:19
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 23:39
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 23:39
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 23:39
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 23:39
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 23:39
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 23:39
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 23:39
Bally Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -7.30%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 23:39
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 23:39
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 23:39
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 23:39
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.81%E -4.32%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 23:39
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.32%E -4.62%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.87%E -0.934%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 15:09
Grosvenor1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -8.83%E -4.93%K -11.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -3.34%E -1.69%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-06 23:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-06-06 23:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-06-06 23:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.00%0.5%2026-06-06 23:59
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-06 23:29
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-06 23:20
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.00%1.5%2026-06-06 23:59
ProphetX1.97I 50.76%NM 49.87%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.13%1.8%2026-06-06 23:59
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%5.1%2026-06-06 23:59