La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.51
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.95
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| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.97%E -4.94%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.362%E +0.123%K +0.186%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 23:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -0.318%E -0.109%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-04 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -0.318%E -0.109%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-04 23:05 |
| Caesars | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.658%E -0.225%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-04 23:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%EV -2.35%E -1.59%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%EV -1.34%E -0.462%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-04 23:05 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -1.34%E -0.462%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-04 23:03 |
| ReBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.34%E -0.462%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-04 23:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.90%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.10%EV -1.68%E -0.581%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-04 23:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17%EV -2.36%E -0.822%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-04 22:54 |
| GTbets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -2.36%E -0.822%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-04 23:03 |
| BetUS | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.70%E -0.944%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-04 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-04 22:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-04 22:08 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-04 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 22:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 22:50 |
| Casumo | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 22:50 |
| Unibet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 22:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 22:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 22:49 |
| betPARX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 22:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 22:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-04 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-04 22:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-04 22:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-04 22:50 |
| Betsson | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -3.38%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-04 11:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.372%E -0.246%K -0.729%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -4.40%E -1.57%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-04 22:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-04 20:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-04 23:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-04 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-04 20:34 |
| Neds | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-04 20:34 |
| BetMGM | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-04 20:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-04 20:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-04 20:34 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-04 20:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 23:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 20:29 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 23:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-04 20:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.42%E -1.95%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-04 20:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.80%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.20%EV -5.76%E -2.08%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-04 23:00 |
| Bovada | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -3.67%E -2.51%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -6.10%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-04 22:44 |
| Fanatics | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-04 20:59 |
| 888sport | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-04 20:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-04 20:34 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-04 20:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-04 20:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-04 22:04 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-04 23:05 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 03:00 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 23:04 |
| TAB | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.35%E -1.59%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 20:34 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 22:53 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 23:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -8.82%E -3.29%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-04 20:34 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-05-04 23:05 |
| BetOpenly | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.68% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 31.32% | 0.4% | 2026-05-04 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 23:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-05-04 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-05-04 23:05 |
| Novig | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.0% | 2026-05-04 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73% | 2.5% | 2026-05-04 23:05 |