La scuola delle quote

New York Yankees v Baltimore Orioles

Inizio: 2026-05-04 23:06 UTC

Finale: New York Yankees 12–1 Baltimore Orioles

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

New York Yankees (Casa)

Previsione 65.98%1.52quota equa
EV -0.372%
Vantaggio -0.246%
Kelly -0.729%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.58%66.00%65.85%67.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.401.451.441.5171.43%69.20%69.44%66.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.02%2.94quota equa
EV +0.362%
Vantaggio +0.123%
Kelly +0.186%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.34%34.00%34.15%35.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.682.822.812.9537.31%35.49%35.59%33.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Fliff1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.97%E -4.94%K -17.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.362%E +0.123%K +0.186%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-04 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -0.318%E -0.109%K -0.165%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-04 23:05
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -0.318%E -0.109%K -0.165%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-04 23:05
Caesars1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.658%E -0.225%K -0.343%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 23:04
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%EV -2.35%E -1.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%EV -1.34%E -0.462%K -0.705%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-04 23:05
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -1.34%E -0.462%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-04 23:03
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.34%E -0.462%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-04 23:04
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.90%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.10%EV -1.68%E -0.581%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-04 23:04
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17%EV -2.36%E -0.822%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-04 22:54
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -2.36%E -0.822%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-04 23:03
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.70%E -0.944%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-04 23:05
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-04 22:50
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 22:08
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-04 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:50
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:50
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:50
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:50
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:50
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:49
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:49
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:50
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-04 22:50
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-04 22:50
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-04 22:50
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-04 22:50
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -3.38%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 11:15
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.372%E -0.246%K -0.729%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -4.40%E -1.57%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-04 22:00
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-04 20:35
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-04 23:05
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 20:34
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 20:34
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 20:34
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 20:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 20:34
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 20:34
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 23:04
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 20:29
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 23:00
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 20:40
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.42%E -1.95%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-04 20:34
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.80%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.20%EV -5.76%E -2.08%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-04 23:00
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -3.67%E -2.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -6.10%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 22:44
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-04 20:59
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 20:29
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 20:34
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 20:29
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 20:29
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 22:04
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 23:05
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 03:00
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 23:04
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.35%E -1.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 20:34
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 22:53
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 23:05
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -8.82%E -3.29%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 20:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-05-04 23:05
BetOpenly1.45I 68.97%NM 68.68%3.18I 31.45%NM 31.32%0.4%2026-05-04 23:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-04 23:05
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-05-04 23:05
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-05-04 23:05
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-05-04 23:05
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-05-04 23:05
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73%2.5%2026-05-04 23:05