مدرسة الاحتمالات

New York Yankees v Baltimore Orioles

البداية: 2026-05-04 23:06 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: New York Yankees 12–1 Baltimore Orioles

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

New York Yankees (المضيف)

التنبؤ 65.98%1.52السعر العادل
EV -0.372%
الأفضلية -0.246%
Kelly -0.729%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.51

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
64.58%66.00%65.85%67.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.401.451.441.5171.43%69.20%69.44%66.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Baltimore Orioles (الضيف)

التنبؤ 34.02%2.94السعر العادل
EV +0.362%
الأفضلية +0.123%
Kelly +0.186%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.34%34.00%34.15%35.42%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.682.822.812.9537.31%35.49%35.59%33.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Fliff1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.97%E -4.94%K -17.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.362%E +0.123%K +0.186%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-04 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -0.318%E -0.109%K -0.165%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-04 23:05
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -0.318%E -0.109%K -0.165%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-04 23:05
Caesars1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.658%E -0.225%K -0.343%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 23:04
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%EV -2.35%E -1.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%EV -1.34%E -0.462%K -0.705%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-04 23:05
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -1.34%E -0.462%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-04 23:03
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.34%E -0.462%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-04 23:04
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.90%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.10%EV -1.68%E -0.581%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-04 23:04
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17%EV -2.36%E -0.822%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-04 22:54
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -2.36%E -0.822%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-04 23:03
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.70%E -0.944%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-04 23:05
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-04 22:50
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 22:08
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-04 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:50
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:50
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:50
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:50
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:50
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:49
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:49
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:50
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-04 22:50
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-04 22:50
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-04 22:50
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-04 22:50
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -3.38%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 11:15
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.372%E -0.246%K -0.729%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -4.40%E -1.57%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-04 22:00
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-04 20:35
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-04 23:05
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 20:34
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 20:34
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 20:34
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 20:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 20:34
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 20:34
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 23:04
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 20:29
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 23:00
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 20:40
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.42%E -1.95%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-04 20:34
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.80%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.20%EV -5.76%E -2.08%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-04 23:00
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -3.67%E -2.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -6.10%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 22:44
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-04 20:59
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 20:29
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 20:34
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 20:29
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 20:29
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 22:04
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 23:05
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 03:00
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 23:04
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.35%E -1.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 20:34
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 22:53
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 23:05
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -8.82%E -3.29%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 20:34
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-05-04 23:05
BetOpenly1.45I 68.97%NM 68.68%3.18I 31.45%NM 31.32%0.4%2026-05-04 23:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-04 23:05
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-05-04 23:05
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-05-04 23:05
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-05-04 23:05
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-05-04 23:05
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73%2.5%2026-05-04 23:05