L’École des cotes

New York Yankees v Baltimore Orioles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-04 23:06 UTC

Score final : New York Yankees 12–1 Baltimore Orioles

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Yankees (Local)

Prévision 65.98%1.52cote équitable
EV -0.372%
Avantage -0.246%
Kelly -0.729%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.58%66.00%65.85%67.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.451.441.5171.43%69.20%69.44%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Baltimore Orioles (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.02%2.94cote équitable
EV +0.362%
Avantage +0.123%
Kelly +0.186%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.34%34.00%34.15%35.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.682.822.812.9537.31%35.49%35.59%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Fliff1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -6.97%E -4.94%K -17.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV +0.362%E +0.123%K +0.186%G +0.001%4.8%2026-05-04 23:05
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -0.318%E -0.109%K -0.165%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-04 23:05
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -0.318%E -0.109%K -0.165%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-04 23:05
Caesars1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.658%E -0.225%K -0.343%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 23:04
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%EV -2.35%E -1.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%EV -1.34%E -0.462%K -0.705%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-04 23:05
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -1.34%E -0.462%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-04 23:03
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.34%E -0.462%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-04 23:04
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.90%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.10%EV -1.68%E -0.581%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-04 23:04
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.83%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 34.17%EV -2.36%E -0.822%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-04 22:54
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -2.36%E -0.822%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-04 23:03
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -2.70%E -0.944%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-04 23:05
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-04 22:50
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-04 22:08
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-04 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:50
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:50
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:50
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:50
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:50
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:49
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:49
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 22:50
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-04 22:50
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-04 22:50
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-04 22:50
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.04%E -1.07%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-04 22:50
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -3.38%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 11:15
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.372%E -0.246%K -0.729%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -4.40%E -1.57%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-04 22:00
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-04 20:35
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-04 23:05
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 20:34
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 20:34
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 20:34
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 20:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 20:34
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 20:34
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 23:04
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 20:29
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.31%E -4.44%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 23:00
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-04 20:40
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.42%E -1.95%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-04 20:34
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.80%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.20%EV -5.76%E -2.08%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-04 23:00
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -3.67%E -2.51%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -6.10%E -2.21%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 22:44
Fanatics1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-04 20:59
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 20:29
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 20:34
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 20:29
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 20:29
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 22:04
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 23:05
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 03:00
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 23:04
TAB1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.35%E -1.59%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 20:34
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-04 22:53
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.14%E -3.02%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 23:05
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -8.82%E -3.29%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 20:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-05-04 23:05
BetOpenly1.45I 68.97%NM 68.68%3.18I 31.45%NM 31.32%0.4%2026-05-04 23:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-04 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-05-04 23:05
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-05-04 23:05
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-05-04 23:05
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-05-04 23:05
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-05-04 23:05
Smarkets1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73%2.5%2026-05-04 23:05