Language:English
New York Mets v Washington Nationals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 60.04%1.67fair odd
EV -1.54%
Edge -0.936%
Kelly -2.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%59.98%60.15%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.601.601.6464.52%62.67%62.50%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Nationals (Visit)
Prediction 39.96%2.50fair odd
EV -0.099%
Edge -0.040%
Kelly -0.066%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%40.02%39.85%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.382.382.5044.44%42.04%42.02%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 60.04%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 39.96%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.502. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.500, with an expected value of -0.099%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.54%E -0.936%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.90%E -1.19%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 15:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -1.54%E -0.936%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -1.54%E -0.936%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-16 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.14%E -1.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.70%E -0.690%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 15:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.14%E -1.31%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.70%E -0.690%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.74%E -1.69%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.099%E -0.040%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-16 12:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.74%E -1.69%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.099%E -0.040%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-16 14:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.74%E -1.69%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -2.90%E -1.19%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 13:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.74%E -1.69%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.74%E -1.69%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 15:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.74%E -1.69%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 12:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.74%E -1.69%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.74%E -1.69%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 15:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.74%E -1.69%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 15:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.34%E -2.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.498%E -0.200%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 14:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.34%E -2.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.898%E -0.362%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 14:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.34%E -2.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.898%E -0.362%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-16 14:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.34%E -2.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -1.70%E -0.690%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-16 14:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.34%E -2.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.10%E -0.856%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.95%EV -3.34%E -2.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.05%EV -3.70%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.34%E -2.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 15:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.34%E -2.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 15:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.34%E -2.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 15:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.34%E -2.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 15:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.34%E -2.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 15:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.34%E -2.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 15:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.34%E -2.07%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 17:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -3.70%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 13:13 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 12:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 12:53 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 13:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -6.89%E -2.96%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.54%E -2.85%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 12:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.54%E -2.85%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 13:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.54%E -2.85%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 12:53 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.54%E -2.85%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 13:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.54%E -2.85%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.69%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 15:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.54%E -2.85%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.14%E -3.25%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 15:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.14%E -3.25%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 15:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.14%E -3.25%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.49%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 15:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.14%E -3.25%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.29%E -2.23%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 16:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.14%E -3.25%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.29%E -2.23%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 15:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.14%E -3.25%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.14%E -3.25%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 16:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.14%E -3.25%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.74%E -3.65%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 13:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.74%E -3.65%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 21:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.74%E -3.65%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 13:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.74%E -3.65%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 13:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.74%E -3.65%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 23:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.74%E -3.65%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.74%E -3.65%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 15:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.74%E -3.65%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 15:50 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 15:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 09:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 17:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 17:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 17:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.09%E -4.48%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 16:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38% | -0.0% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 0.2% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 16:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.3% | 2026-08-16 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 14:30 |