Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets v Washington Nationals

Início: 2026-08-16 17:41 UTC

Final: New York Mets 4–3 Washington Nationals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets (Local)

Previsão 60.04%1.67odd justa
EV -1.54%
Vantagem -0.936%
Kelly -2.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.82%59.98%60.15%60.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.601.601.6464.52%62.67%62.50%60.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Previsão 39.96%2.50odd justa
EV -0.099%
Vantagem -0.040%
Kelly -0.066%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.24%40.02%39.85%41.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.382.382.5044.44%42.04%42.02%40.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Mets (Local): 60.04%; Washington Nationals (Visitante): 39.96%. Para Washington Nationals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.502. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.500, com valor esperado de -0.099%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.54%E -0.936%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.90%E -1.19%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-16 15:45
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -1.54%E -0.936%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -1.54%E -0.936%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-16 17:00
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.14%E -1.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.70%E -0.690%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-16 15:49
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.14%E -1.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.70%E -0.690%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-16 17:25
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.74%E -1.69%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.099%E -0.040%K -0.066%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-16 12:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.74%E -1.69%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV -0.099%E -0.040%K -0.066%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-16 14:05
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.00%EV -2.74%E -1.69%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.00%EV -2.90%E -1.19%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 13:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.74%E -1.69%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-16 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.74%E -1.69%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-16 15:49
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.74%E -1.69%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 12:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.74%E -1.69%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 12:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.74%E -1.69%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 15:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.74%E -1.69%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 15:20
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.34%E -2.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.498%E -0.200%K -0.335%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-16 14:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.34%E -2.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.898%E -0.362%K -0.607%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 14:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -3.34%E -2.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV -0.898%E -0.362%K -0.607%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-16 14:34
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.34%E -2.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -1.70%E -0.690%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-16 14:10
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.34%E -2.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.10%E -0.856%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 17:29
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.95%EV -3.34%E -2.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.05%EV -3.70%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-16 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.34%E -2.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 15:19
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.34%E -2.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 15:19
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.34%E -2.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.34%E -2.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 15:20
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.34%E -2.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 15:19
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.34%E -2.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 15:20
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.34%E -2.07%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 17:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -3.70%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 13:13
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 16:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 12:55
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 12:53
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 16:14
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 13:20
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -6.89%E -2.96%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 17:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 17:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.54%E -2.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 12:54
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.54%E -2.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 13:14
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.54%E -2.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 12:53
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.54%E -2.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 13:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.54%E -2.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.69%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 15:40
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.54%E -2.85%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 14:49
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.14%E -3.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 15:29
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.14%E -3.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 15:24
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -5.14%E -3.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -4.49%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 15:54
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.14%E -3.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.29%E -2.23%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 16:14
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.14%E -3.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.29%E -2.23%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 15:28
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.14%E -3.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.14%E -3.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 16:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.14%E -3.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 17:00
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.74%E -3.65%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 13:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.74%E -3.65%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 21:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.74%E -3.65%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 13:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.74%E -3.65%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 13:04
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.74%E -3.65%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.89%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 23:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.74%E -3.65%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 17:29
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.74%E -3.65%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.09%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 15:10
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.74%E -3.65%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 15:50
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 15:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.09%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 09:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 17:14
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 17:33
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 17:34
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -10.09%E -4.48%K -8.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 16:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.62%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.38%-0.0%2026-08-16 17:29
ProphetX◎1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%0.2%2026-08-16 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-16 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-16 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-16 17:40
Novig◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.82%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.18%0.9%2026-08-16 17:40
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-16 16:40
Polymarket◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-15 18:20
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-08-16 17:40
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%7.2%2026-08-16 14:30