Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Mets v St. Louis Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-06-10 23:11 UTC

Final: New York Mets 2–9 St. Louis Cardinals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Mets (Local)

Prediction 55.41%1.80fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.38%55.43%55.27%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.741.7760.61%57.72%57.47%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 44.59%2.24fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.663%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%44.57%44.73%45.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.132.132.2148.31%46.88%46.84%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 55.41%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 44.59%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.21, with an expected value of -1.46%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.92%E -1.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-10 22:30
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.92%E -1.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-10 06:59
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.92%E -1.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.36%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-10 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.92%E -1.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.80%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-10 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.92%E -1.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.80%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-10 22:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -1.92%E -1.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -4.59%E -2.14%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-10 20:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -1.92%E -1.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -5.92%E -2.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-10 20:18
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.47%E -1.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.46%E -0.663%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-10 23:09
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.47%E -1.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.36%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-10 22:50
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -2.47%E -1.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.80%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-10 22:09
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-10 02:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.48%E -2.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.48%E -2.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 23:10
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 20:30
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 20:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 20:29
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 20:30
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 20:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 20:30
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 20:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 19:10
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.69%E -1.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-10 14:10
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-10 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-09 18:29
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-09 20:27
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-10 20:47
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-09 21:19
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -5.03%E -2.36%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-09 20:59
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 20:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 20:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 20:30
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 20:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -4.13%E -2.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -2.80%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-10 23:10
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.13%E -2.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.13%E -2.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 22:50
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.13%E -2.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.48%E -2.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 20:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.13%E -2.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 20:59
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.13%E -2.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 01:59
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 23:09
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 22:50
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.48%E -2.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 21:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.48%E -2.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:30
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.48%E -2.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 20:49
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.48%E -2.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 13:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 23:09
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -7.71%E -3.72%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 20:30
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.24%E -3.07%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:10
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.24%E -3.07%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.24%E -3.07%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.24%E -3.07%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 14:50
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.24%E -3.07%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:50
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.24%E -3.07%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.59%E -2.14%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 14:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.24%E -3.07%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 21:19
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 23:09
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.35%E -3.76%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.90%E -4.11%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 20:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.57%E -5.19%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-10 23:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-06-10 23:09
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-10 21:20
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-10 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-10 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-10 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-10 23:10
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.0%2026-06-10 23:10
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-10 23:10
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-06-10 23:10
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-06-10 23:10