Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets v St. Louis Cardinals

Início: 2026-06-10 23:11 UTC

Final: New York Mets 2–9 St. Louis Cardinals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets (Local)

Previsão 55.41%1.80odd justa
EV -1.92%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -2.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.38%55.43%55.27%56.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.651.731.741.7760.61%57.72%57.47%56.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 44.59%2.24odd justa
EV -1.46%
Vantagem -0.663%
Kelly -1.21%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.72%44.57%44.73%45.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.072.132.132.2148.31%46.88%46.84%45.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Mets (Local): 55.41%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante): 44.59%. Para St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.24. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.21, com valor esperado de -1.46%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.92%E -1.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-10 22:30
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -1.92%E -1.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.91%E -0.868%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-10 06:59
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.92%E -1.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.36%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-10 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.92%E -1.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.80%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-10 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.92%E -1.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.80%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-10 22:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -1.92%E -1.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -4.59%E -2.14%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-10 20:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -1.92%E -1.08%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -5.92%E -2.81%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-10 20:18
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.47%E -1.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.46%E -0.663%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-10 23:09
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -2.47%E -1.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -2.36%E -1.08%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-10 22:50
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%EV -2.47%E -1.40%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%EV -2.80%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-10 22:09
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-10 02:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.48%E -2.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.48%E -2.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 23:10
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 20:30
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 20:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 20:29
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 20:30
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 20:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 20:30
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 20:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.03%E -1.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 19:10
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.69%E -1.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-10 14:10
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-10 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-09 18:29
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-09 20:27
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-10 20:47
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-09 21:19
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -5.03%E -2.36%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-09 20:59
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 20:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 20:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 20:30
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.58%E -2.06%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 20:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -4.13%E -2.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -2.80%E -1.29%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-10 23:10
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.13%E -2.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.13%E -2.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-10 22:50
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.13%E -2.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.48%E -2.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-09 20:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.13%E -2.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-09 20:59
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.13%E -2.39%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 01:59
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 23:09
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 22:50
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.48%E -2.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 21:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.48%E -2.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:30
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.48%E -2.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 20:49
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.48%E -2.58%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 13:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 23:09
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -4.69%E -2.73%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -7.71%E -3.72%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 20:30
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.24%E -3.07%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:10
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.24%E -3.07%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.24%E -3.07%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.24%E -3.07%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 14:50
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.24%E -3.07%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:50
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.24%E -3.07%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.59%E -2.14%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 14:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.24%E -3.07%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 21:19
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.80%E -3.41%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 23:09
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.35%E -3.76%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-10 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.90%E -4.11%K -10.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.46%E -4.47%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.14%E -1.93%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-10 20:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.57%E -5.19%K -13.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.37%E -3.03%K -5.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-10 23:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-06-10 23:09
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-10 21:20
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-10 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-10 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-10 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-10 23:10
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.0%2026-06-10 23:10
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-06-10 23:10
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-06-10 23:10
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-06-10 23:10