Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Mets v St. Louis Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-06-11 17:11 UTC

Final: New York Mets 5–4 St. Louis Cardinals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Mets (Local)

Prediction 57.41%1.74fair odd
EV -0.685%
Edge -0.396%
Kelly -0.938%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.26%57.36%57.33%59.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.661.661.7362.89%60.24%60.24%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 42.59%2.35fair odd
EV +0.092%
Edge +0.039%
Kelly +0.068%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.87%42.64%42.67%44.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.232.232.3547.62%44.88%44.84%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 57.41%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 42.59%. For St. Louis Cardinals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.348. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.350, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.092%.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV +0.092%E +0.039%K +0.068%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-11 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.334%E -0.143%K -0.249%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-11 17:09
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.334%E -0.143%K -0.249%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-11 17:09
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.334%E -0.143%K -0.249%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-11 17:00
Everygame🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.98%E -1.76%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.760%E -0.326%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-11 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.19%E -0.511%K -0.898%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-11 17:09
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.98%E -1.76%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.04%E -0.886%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-11 16:00
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.98%E -1.76%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.04%E -0.886%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-11 17:00
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.04%E -0.886%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 17:10
Caesars🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.04%E -0.886%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 15:48
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.04%E -0.886%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 17:10
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.72%E -5.49%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.04%E -0.886%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-11 17:10
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.26%E -0.732%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.89%E -1.27%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-11 15:09
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.32%E -1.46%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 17:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -3.74%E -1.66%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-11 17:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.98%E -1.76%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-11 15:20
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.98%E -1.76%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-11 14:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-11 16:58
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-11 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 16:40
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 16:59
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 15:39
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 15:39
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 15:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-11 17:00
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.15%E -5.09%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-11 16:40
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.59%E -2.05%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 16:59
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.02%E -2.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-11 16:10
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.02%E -2.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-11 16:10
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.02%E -2.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 14:59
DraftKings🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.45%E -2.45%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 14:10
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 14:30
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 21:19
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 14:30
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 16:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 17:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-11 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-11 17:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-11 17:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-11 17:10
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-11 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-11 17:00
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-11 17:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-11 15:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-11 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -6.72%E -3.07%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-11 17:10
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -6.72%E -3.07%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-11 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -0.685%E -0.396%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -7.15%E -3.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-11 17:09
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.15%E -3.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-11 16:10
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -7.57%E -3.49%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-11 17:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -8.00%E -3.70%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-11 17:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -8.00%E -3.70%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-11 17:10
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -8.00%E -3.70%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-11 17:10
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.98%E -1.76%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.43%E -3.92%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-11 16:59
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.98%E -1.76%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.43%E -3.92%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-11 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.43%E -3.94%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.43%E -3.92%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-11 17:00
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -9.70%E -4.58%K -8.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-11 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -9.70%E -4.58%K -8.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-11 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.56%E -5.03%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-11 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.56%E -5.03%K -9.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-11 17:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 58.60%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.40%-0.2%2026-06-11 17:09
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-06-11 17:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-06-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-06-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-06-11 17:10
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-06-11 17:00
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-06-11 17:10
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%3.3%2026-06-11 17:10
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.78%3.4%2026-06-11 17:10