La escuela de los momios

New York Mets v St. Louis Cardinals

Inicio: 2026-06-11 17:11 UTC

Final: New York Mets 5–4 St. Louis Cardinals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Predicción 57.41%1.74momio equitativo
EV -0.685%
Ventaja -0.396%
Kelly -0.938%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.26%57.36%57.33%59.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.591.661.661.7362.89%60.24%60.24%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

St. Louis Cardinals (Visitante)

Predicción 42.59%2.35momio equitativo
EV +0.092%
Ventaja +0.039%
Kelly +0.068%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.87%42.64%42.67%44.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.232.232.3547.62%44.88%44.84%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
theScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV +0.092%E +0.039%K +0.068%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-11 16:40
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.334%E -0.143%K -0.249%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-11 17:09
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.334%E -0.143%K -0.249%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-11 17:09
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.334%E -0.143%K -0.249%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-11 17:00
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.98%E -1.76%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -0.760%E -0.326%K -0.571%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-11 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.19%E -0.511%K -0.898%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-11 17:09
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.98%E -1.76%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.04%E -0.886%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-11 16:00
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.98%E -1.76%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.04%E -0.886%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-11 17:00
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.04%E -0.886%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 17:10
Caesars1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.04%E -0.886%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 15:48
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.04%E -0.886%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 17:10
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.72%E -5.49%K -14.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.04%E -0.886%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-11 17:10
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -1.26%E -0.732%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -2.89%E -1.27%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-11 15:09
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -3.32%E -1.46%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 17:09
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -3.74%E -1.66%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-11 17:09
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.98%E -1.76%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-11 15:20
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.98%E -1.76%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-11 14:30
MyBookie.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-11 16:58
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-11 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-11 16:40
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 17:00
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 16:59
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 15:39
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 15:39
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 15:40
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-11 17:00
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.15%E -5.09%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.17%E -1.85%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-11 16:40
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.59%E -2.05%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 16:59
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.02%E -2.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-11 16:10
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.02%E -2.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-11 16:10
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.02%E -2.25%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 14:59
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.45%E -2.45%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-11 14:10
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-11 14:30
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 21:19
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 14:30
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 16:10
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.13%E -2.47%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 17:09
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-11 17:10
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-11 17:10
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-11 17:10
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-11 17:10
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.70%E -2.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-11 17:10
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-11 17:00
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-11 17:05
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-11 15:10
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.30%E -2.86%K -5.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-11 17:10
NordicBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -6.72%E -3.07%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-11 17:10
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -6.72%E -3.07%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-11 17:10
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.75%EV -0.685%E -0.396%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.25%EV -7.15%E -3.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-11 17:09
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.15%E -3.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-11 16:10
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -5.28%E -3.20%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -7.57%E -3.49%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-11 17:10
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -8.00%E -3.70%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-11 17:10
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -8.00%E -3.70%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-11 17:10
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -5.85%E -3.57%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -8.00%E -3.70%K -6.90%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-11 17:10
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.98%E -1.76%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.43%E -3.92%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-11 16:59
Betway1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.98%E -1.76%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -8.43%E -3.92%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-11 17:10
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.43%E -3.94%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.43%E -3.92%K -7.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-11 17:00
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -7.00%E -4.32%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -9.70%E -4.58%K -8.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-11 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -7.57%E -4.70%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -9.70%E -4.58%K -8.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-11 17:10
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.41%E -1.42%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.56%E -5.03%K -9.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-11 17:10
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.56%E -2.12%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.56%E -5.03%K -9.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-11 17:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 58.60%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.40%-0.2%2026-06-11 17:09
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-06-11 17:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-06-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-06-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-06-11 17:10
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-06-11 17:00
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-06-11 17:10
ProphetX1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%3.3%2026-06-11 17:10
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 57.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.78%3.4%2026-06-11 17:10