默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New York Mets v San Diego Padres

开赛时间: 2026-08-17 23:11 UTC

最终结果: New York Mets 2–1 San Diego Padres

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

63 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New York Mets (主队)

预测 52.99%1.89公平赔率
EV -1.44%
优势 -0.772%
Kelly -1.67%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.86

博彩公司预测分布
51.95%53.16%53.06%55.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.811.811.8658.82%55.29%55.25%53.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

San Diego Padres (客队)

预测 47.01%2.13公平赔率
EV -1.28%
优势 -0.611%
Kelly -1.17%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布
44.88%46.84%46.94%48.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.922.032.022.1052.08%49.36%49.50%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:New York Mets (主队):52.99%;San Diego Padres (客队):47.01%。 对于“San Diego Padres (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.13。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.10,期望值为-1.28%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -1.44%E -0.772%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -2.22%E -1.07%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-17 23:05
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.44%E -0.772%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.69%E -1.30%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-17 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.44%E -0.772%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-17 21:30
Everygame🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.44%E -0.772%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-17 22:21
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.97%E -1.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.22%E -1.07%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-17 23:09
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -1.97%E -1.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -5.04%E -2.50%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-17 22:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -1.97%E -1.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -5.04%E -2.50%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-17 22:44
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.97%E -1.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.97%E -1.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 21:29
GTbets🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.75%E -0.838%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-17 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.22%E -1.07%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-17 22:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.22%E -1.07%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-17 22:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -5.51%E -2.74%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 23:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.28%E -0.611%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-17 14:59
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.75%E -0.838%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-17 19:54
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.69%E -1.30%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-17 13:05
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-17 23:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.10%E -2.01%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-17 23:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 22:44
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 22:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 22:44
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 22:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 22:45
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 22:40
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 22:45
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.92%E -3.50%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 21:34
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.92%E -3.50%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 21:34
DraftKings🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.09%EV -3.56%E -1.95%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.91%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-17 23:10
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.56%E -1.95%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 21:35
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.56%E -1.95%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.39%E -3.75%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 22:45
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -4.09%E -2.26%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -1.75%E -0.838%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-17 23:10
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.09%E -2.26%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.57%E -2.25%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 22:50
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.09%E -2.26%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 18:59
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 22:39
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 22:40
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.10%E -2.01%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 14:34
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.04%E -2.50%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.04%E -2.50%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 22:39
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.04%E -2.50%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 21:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.51%E -2.74%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 22:49
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 22:34
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 21:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 21:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 21:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 21:35
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 23:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.86%E -4.01%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.86%E -4.01%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 22:44
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 21:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.15%E -2.87%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -6.45%E -3.24%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 23:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.20%E -3.51%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.22%E -1.07%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 22:29
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.20%E -3.51%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.20%E -3.51%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 16:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -6.73%E -3.83%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 23:02
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.73%E -3.83%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -9.74%E -5.07%K -10.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-17 22:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.85%E -5.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.28%E -0.611%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 23:10
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.38%E -5.49%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.28%E -0.611%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.91%E -5.83%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 22:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.91%E -5.83%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 23:09
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.91%E -5.83%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 22:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.12%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.88%0.1%2026-08-17 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-08-17 23:10
Novig◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-08-17 22:00
Matchbook◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-08-17 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-08-17 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-08-17 23:09
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-17 18:50
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-17 23:05
BetOpenly◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%2.0%2026-08-17 22:50
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%2.4%2026-08-17 23:09