Idioma:Español
New York Mets v San Diego Padres
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
New York Mets (Local)
Predicción 52.99%1.89momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.772%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.95%53.16%53.06%55.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.811.811.8658.82%55.29%55.25%53.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
San Diego Padres (Visitante)
Predicción 47.01%2.13momio equitativo
EV -1.28%
Ventaja -0.611%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.88%46.84%46.94%48.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.922.032.022.1052.08%49.36%49.50%47.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Mets (Local): 52.99%; San Diego Padres (Visitante): 47.01%. Para San Diego Padres (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.13. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.10, con un valor esperado de -1.28%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -1.44%E -0.772%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -2.22%E -1.07%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-17 23:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.44%E -0.772%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.69%E -1.30%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-17 22:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.44%E -0.772%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-17 21:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.44%E -0.772%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-17 22:21 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.97%E -1.06%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.22%E -1.07%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-17 23:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -1.97%E -1.06%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -5.04%E -2.50%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-17 22:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -1.97%E -1.06%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -5.04%E -2.50%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-17 22:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.97%E -1.06%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 21:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.97%E -1.06%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.75%E -0.838%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-17 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.22%E -1.07%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-17 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.22%E -1.07%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-17 22:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -5.51%E -2.74%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-17 23:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.28%E -0.611%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-17 14:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.75%E -0.838%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-17 19:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.69%E -1.30%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-17 13:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-17 23:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.10%E -2.01%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 23:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 22:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 22:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 22:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 22:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 22:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 22:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.92%E -3.50%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 21:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.92%E -3.50%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 21:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.09%EV -3.56%E -1.95%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.91%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-17 23:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.56%E -1.95%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 21:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.56%E -1.95%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.39%E -3.75%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-17 22:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -4.09%E -2.26%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -1.75%E -0.838%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-17 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.09%E -2.26%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.57%E -2.25%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-17 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.09%E -2.26%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-17 21:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 18:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 22:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.10%E -2.01%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 14:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.04%E -2.50%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.04%E -2.50%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 22:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.04%E -2.50%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 21:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.51%E -2.74%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 22:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 22:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 21:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 21:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 21:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 21:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 23:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.86%E -4.01%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.86%E -4.01%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 22:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-17 21:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.15%E -2.87%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -6.45%E -3.24%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 23:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.20%E -3.51%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.22%E -1.07%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 22:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.20%E -3.51%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 23:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.20%E -3.51%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-17 16:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -6.73%E -3.83%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-17 23:02 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.73%E -3.83%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -9.74%E -5.07%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-17 22:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.85%E -5.15%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.28%E -0.611%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-17 23:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.38%E -5.49%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.28%E -0.611%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.91%E -5.83%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 22:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.91%E -5.83%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 23:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.91%E -5.83%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-17 22:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.12% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.88% | 0.1% | 2026-08-17 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00% | 0.4% | 2026-08-17 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75% | 0.4% | 2026-08-17 22:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 0.8% | 2026-08-17 23:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-17 18:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-08-17 23:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84% | 2.0% | 2026-08-17 22:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94% | 2.4% | 2026-08-17 23:09 |