Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

New York Mets v San Diego Padres

Inizio: 2026-08-17 23:11 UTC

Finale: New York Mets 2–1 San Diego Padres

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

New York Mets (Casa)

Previsione 52.99%1.89quota equa
EV -1.44%
Vantaggio -0.772%
Kelly -1.67%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.95%53.16%53.06%55.12%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.811.811.8658.82%55.29%55.25%53.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

San Diego Padres (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.01%2.13quota equa
EV -1.28%
Vantaggio -0.611%
Kelly -1.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.88%46.84%46.94%48.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.922.032.022.1052.08%49.36%49.50%47.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: New York Mets (Casa): 52.99%; San Diego Padres (Trasferta): 47.01%. Per San Diego Padres (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.13. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.10, con un valore atteso del -1.28%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -1.44%E -0.772%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -2.22%E -1.07%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-17 23:05
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.44%E -0.772%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.69%E -1.30%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-17 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.44%E -0.772%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-17 21:30
Everygame🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -1.44%E -0.772%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-17 22:21
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -1.97%E -1.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.22%E -1.07%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-17 23:09
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -1.97%E -1.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -5.04%E -2.50%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-17 22:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -1.97%E -1.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -5.04%E -2.50%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-17 22:44
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.97%E -1.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.97%E -1.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 21:29
GTbets🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%EV -1.75%E -0.838%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-17 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.22%E -1.07%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-17 22:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%EV -2.22%E -1.07%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-17 22:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.21%EV -2.50%E -1.36%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.79%EV -5.51%E -2.74%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 23:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.28%E -0.611%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-17 14:59
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -1.75%E -0.838%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-17 19:54
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -2.69%E -1.30%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-17 13:05
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-17 23:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.10%E -2.01%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-17 23:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 22:44
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 22:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 22:44
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 22:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 22:45
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 22:40
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 22:45
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.92%E -3.50%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 21:34
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.03%E -1.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -6.92%E -3.50%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 21:34
DraftKings🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.09%EV -3.56%E -1.95%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.91%EV -3.16%E -1.54%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-17 23:10
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.56%E -1.95%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 21:35
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -3.56%E -1.95%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -7.39%E -3.75%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 22:45
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -4.09%E -2.26%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -1.75%E -0.838%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-17 23:10
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.09%E -2.26%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.57%E -2.25%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 22:50
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.09%E -2.26%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-17 21:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 18:59
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 22:39
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 22:40
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.10%E -2.01%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 14:34
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.04%E -2.50%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.04%E -2.50%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 22:39
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.04%E -2.50%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 21:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.51%E -2.74%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 22:49
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 22:34
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 21:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 21:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 21:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 21:35
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 23:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.86%E -4.01%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.86%E -4.01%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 22:44
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.62%E -2.56%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-17 21:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.15%E -2.87%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -6.45%E -3.24%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 23:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -6.20%E -3.51%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.22%E -1.07%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-17 22:29
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.20%E -3.51%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.20%E -3.51%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 16:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -6.73%E -3.83%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 23:02
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -6.73%E -3.83%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -9.74%E -5.07%K -10.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-17 22:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.85%E -5.15%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -1.28%E -0.611%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 23:10
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.38%E -5.49%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.28%E -0.611%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.91%E -5.83%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 22:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.91%E -5.83%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 23:09
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.91%E -5.83%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-17 22:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.12%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.88%0.1%2026-08-17 22:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-08-17 23:10
Novig◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-08-17 22:00
Matchbook◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-08-17 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-08-17 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-08-17 23:09
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-17 18:50
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-17 23:05
BetOpenly◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%2.0%2026-08-17 22:50
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%2.4%2026-08-17 23:09