Language:English
New York Mets v Philadelphia Phillies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 41.49%2.41fair odd
EV +1.65%
Edge +0.673%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.90%41.38%41.56%42.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.222.322.332.4545.05%43.11%42.92%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)
Prediction 58.51%1.71fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.661%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.40%58.62%58.44%61.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.631.621.6964.10%61.52%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 41.49%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 58.51%. For New York Mets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +1.65%E +0.673%K +1.14%G +0.019% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -8.72%E -5.59%K -15.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-26 19:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.426%E -0.177%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-26 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.26%E -0.528%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.87%E -1.73%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -1.67%E -0.705%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.87%E -1.73%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-26 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -1.67%E -0.705%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.87%E -1.73%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.67%E -0.705%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.67%E -0.705%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-26 23:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-26 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-26 21:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-26 21:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-26 23:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-26 22:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-26 12:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-26 21:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-26 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-26 22:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-26 21:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-26 21:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-26 21:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.92%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -1.70%E -1.01%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-26 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.92%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-26 23:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -3.33%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.12%E -0.661%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-06-26 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -3.33%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -1.70%E -1.01%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.33%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.04%E -2.46%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.33%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.04%E -2.46%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-26 22:58 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.33%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-26 23:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.33%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-26 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.33%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-26 21:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.33%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-26 21:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.33%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-26 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.33%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-26 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -3.74%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-26 23:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.74%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-26 23:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-26 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-26 23:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-26 23:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-26 23:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-26 23:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-26 03:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-26 21:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.99%E -2.18%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.04%E -2.46%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-26 23:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.40%E -2.37%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.40%E -2.37%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-26 23:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.82%E -2.56%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.82%E -2.56%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-26 23:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.04%E -2.46%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-26 23:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-26 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-26 22:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-26 23:08 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-26 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -7.89%E -3.56%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -6.97%E -4.38%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-26 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-06-26 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-06-26 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 0.5% | 2026-06-26 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-06-26 23:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-06-26 12:50 |
| Novig◎ | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92% | 1.0% | 2026-06-26 23:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-06-26 23:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 1.6% | 2026-06-26 23:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61% | 2.3% | 2026-06-26 23:09 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06% | 2.6% | 2026-06-26 23:10 |