مدرسة الاحتمالات

New York Mets v Philadelphia Phillies

البداية: 2026-06-26 23:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: New York Mets 1–2 Philadelphia Phillies

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

New York Mets (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.49%2.41السعر العادل
EV +1.65%
الأفضلية +0.673%
Kelly +1.14%
النمو +0.019%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.90%41.38%41.56%42.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.222.322.332.4545.05%43.11%42.92%40.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Philadelphia Phillies (الضيف)

التنبؤ 58.51%1.71السعر العادل
EV -1.12%
الأفضلية -0.661%
Kelly -1.62%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
57.40%58.62%58.44%61.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.561.631.621.6964.10%61.52%61.73%59.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Fliff2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +1.65%E +0.673%K +1.14%G +0.019%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -8.72%E -5.59%K -15.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 19:39
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -0.426%E -0.177%K -0.304%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 23:00
GTbets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%EV -1.26%E -0.528%K -0.910%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%EV -2.87%E -1.73%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-26 22:59
BetOnline.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -1.67%E -0.705%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.87%E -1.73%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-26 23:00
LowVig.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 41.19%EV -1.67%E -0.705%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.81%EV -2.87%E -1.73%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-26 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.67%E -0.705%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 22:59
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.67%E -0.705%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 23:00
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-26 22:59
ReBet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-26 22:59
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-26 23:00
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 21:59
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 21:59
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 23:10
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 22:59
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 22:58
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 22:59
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 12:39
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 21:59
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 22:00
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 21:59
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 21:59
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-26 21:59
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -2.92%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -1.70%E -1.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-26 23:00
BetUS2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.92%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-26 23:09
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -3.33%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.12%E -0.661%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-26 22:55
BetAnything2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -3.33%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -1.70%E -1.01%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-26 22:59
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.33%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.04%E -2.46%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-26 22:59
MyBookie.ag2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.33%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.04%E -2.46%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-26 22:58
Coolbet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.33%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 23:09
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.33%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 22:00
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.33%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 21:59
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.33%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 21:59
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.33%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 23:10
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.33%E -1.43%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 23:10
Bovada2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -3.74%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-26 23:09
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.74%E -1.61%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:09
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-26 22:59
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-26 23:00
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-26 22:59
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.46%E -2.10%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-26 22:59
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 22:59
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 23:09
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 23:09
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 23:09
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 23:09
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 03:50
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-26 22:59
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.57%E -1.99%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.14%E -5.18%K -14.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-26 21:59
DraftKings2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.99%E -2.18%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.04%E -2.46%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-26 23:09
SportsBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.40%E -2.37%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 22:59
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.40%E -2.37%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 23:09
Betsson2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.82%E -2.56%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 22:59
NordicBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.82%E -2.56%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.63%E -2.84%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 22:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.29%E -1.37%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 23:00
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.04%E -2.46%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-26 23:09
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 22:59
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.21%E -3.22%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 23:09
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.80%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-26 22:59
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 22:58
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 23:08
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.65%E -2.96%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 23:00
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -7.89%E -3.56%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -6.97%E -4.38%K -11.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-26 23:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-06-26 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-06-26 22:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%0.5%2026-06-26 23:00
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-06-26 23:09
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-06-26 12:50
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 41.08%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.92%1.0%2026-06-26 23:09
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-06-26 23:00
BetOpenly2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%1.6%2026-06-26 23:09
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.3%2026-06-26 23:09
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.6%2026-06-26 23:10