The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

New York Mets v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-09-19 20:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Mets (Local)

Prediction 53.20%1.88fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.17%53.25%53.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.791.801.8458.82%55.86%55.56%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)

Prediction 46.80%2.14fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.589%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.03%46.83%46.75%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.042.052.1152.08%49.03%48.78%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New York Mets (Local): 53.20%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 46.80%. For Philadelphia Phillies (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.11, with an expected value of -1.24%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -2.12%E -1.15%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -1.71%E -0.815%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-19 19:44
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.24%E -0.589%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-19 19:23
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.71%E -0.815%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-19 13:59
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.71%E -0.815%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-19 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-19 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-19 18:40
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-19 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.65%E -1.45%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 14:01
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -3.72%E -2.05%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -2.18%E -1.04%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-19 19:59
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.72%E -2.05%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 14:01
MyBookie.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.58%E -1.74%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 19:59
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 18:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 18:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 14:01
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 14:00
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 19:34
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 19:44
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 14:01
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 14:01
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.52%E -2.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 14:01
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.52%E -2.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 18:09
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 19:30
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.46%E -2.70%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 17:44
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 14:01
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 14:01
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 14:01
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.25%E -2.36%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.73%E -4.48%K -9.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.65%E -1.27%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 19:15
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.65%E -1.27%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.65%E -1.27%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 19:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.65%E -1.27%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 19:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.52%E -2.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.99%E -2.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 14:01
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.99%E -2.46%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 14:01
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.31%E -2.98%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.84%E -3.30%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 19:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.84%E -3.30%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 19:14
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.84%E -3.30%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 19:15
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.84%E -3.30%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 19:13
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.84%E -3.30%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.84%E -3.30%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.12%E -1.51%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 19:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.84%E -3.30%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 15:11
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.37%E -3.62%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.58%E -1.74%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 19:15
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.91%E -3.95%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 19:59
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.91%E -3.95%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.05%E -1.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 19:58
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.91%E -3.95%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.80%E -3.96%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 19:43
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -7.44%E -4.28%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -4.52%E -2.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 19:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -7.44%E -4.28%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -4.52%E -2.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 19:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -7.44%E -4.28%K -10.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -8.26%E -4.22%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:01
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.03%E -5.28%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.39%E -3.20%K -6.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 19:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -9.57%E -5.63%K -13.67%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -10.14%E -5.28%K -11.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-19 19:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-09-19 19:59
Novig◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-09-19 18:15
BetOpenly◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12%0.6%2026-09-19 19:44
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-09-19 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-09-19 19:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-09-19 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-09-19 19:39
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-19 14:01
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-19 17:14
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%2.4%2026-09-19 19:15