Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets v Philadelphia Phillies

Início: 2026-09-19 20:11 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets (Local)

Previsão 53.17%1.88odd justa
EV -2.16%
Vantagem -1.17%
Kelly -2.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.84

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.24%53.25%54.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.791.801.8458.82%55.90%55.56%54.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Previsão 46.83%2.14odd justa
EV -1.67%
Vantagem -0.794%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.88%46.76%46.75%48.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.922.042.052.1052.08%49.06%48.78%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Mets (Local): 53.17%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante): 46.83%. Para Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.14. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.10, com valor esperado de -1.67%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -2.16%E -1.17%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -1.67%E -0.794%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-19 19:44
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.67%E -0.794%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-19 13:59
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.67%E -0.794%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-19 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-19 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-19 18:40
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-19 18:40
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.41%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.69%E -1.47%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.35%E -3.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Bovada🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.22%E -1.77%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.41%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 20:08
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -2.14%E -1.02%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-19 19:59
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.35%E -3.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.75%E -2.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.35%E -3.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 20:10
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 18:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 14:00
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 19:44
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 14:01
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 14:01
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 14:01
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 14:01
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 18:09
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.41%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.41%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.41%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.41%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 14:01
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.41%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 19:30
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.41%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 17:44
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.35%E -3.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.35%E -3.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 14:01
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.35%E -3.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 20:09
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.35%E -3.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 14:01
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.35%E -3.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.35%E -3.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 14:01
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.35%E -3.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.35%E -3.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 14:01
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.29%E -2.38%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.69%E -4.46%K -9.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 17:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.82%E -2.69%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.07%E -1.48%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 20:04
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.82%E -2.69%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.41%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 20:09
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.82%E -2.69%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.41%E -2.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 20:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.35%E -3.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -1.67%E -0.794%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-19 20:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.35%E -3.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.60%E -1.25%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 19:15
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.35%E -3.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.60%E -1.25%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.35%E -3.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.60%E -1.25%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 19:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.35%E -3.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -2.60%E -1.25%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 19:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.35%E -3.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.35%E -3.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 14:01
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.07%E -1.48%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 19:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.07%E -1.48%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 19:14
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.07%E -1.48%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 19:15
Bally Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.07%E -1.48%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 19:13
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.07%E -1.48%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -5.88%E -3.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -3.07%E -1.48%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 19:14
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.41%E -3.64%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.54%E -1.72%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 19:15
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.94%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 19:59
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.94%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 19:58
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.94%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 20:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -6.94%E -3.97%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -7.75%E -3.94%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 19:43
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.01%E -1.96%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 20:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 19:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -4.48%E -2.19%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 19:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -8.22%E -4.20%K -8.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 14:01
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.07%E -5.30%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.35%E -3.17%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 19:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.04%EV -9.60%E -5.65%K -13.72%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -10.10%E -5.26%K -10.97%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-19 19:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-09-19 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-09-19 20:09
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-09-19 20:09
BetOpenly1.88I 53.19%NM 52.88%2.11I 47.39%NM 47.12%0.6%2026-09-19 19:44
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-09-19 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%0.8%2026-09-19 20:09
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.02%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.98%0.9%2026-09-19 20:09
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-19 14:01
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-09-19 17:14
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-09-19 20:10