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New York Mets v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-09-20 17:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Mets (Local)

Prediction 40.50%2.47fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.822%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.55%40.43%40.56%41.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.352.352.4246.51%42.48%42.55%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)

Prediction 59.50%1.68fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.742%
Kelly -1.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.52%59.57%59.44%60.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.601.601.6665.79%62.58%62.50%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New York Mets (Local): 40.50%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 59.50%. For Philadelphia Phillies (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.66, with an expected value of -1.23%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -1.99%E -0.822%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.83%E -1.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-19 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.83%E -1.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-19 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.83%E -1.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-19 18:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-19 19:09
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-19 19:44
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 17:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.40%E -3.39%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 17:54
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.80%E -1.17%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 18:00
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -3.20%E -1.34%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.23%E -0.742%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-19 18:11
Caesars🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.20%E -1.34%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 19:39
Bet Right🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 18:00
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.61%E -1.52%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 17:54
SportsBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -4.01%E -1.69%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -7.18%E -4.60%K -12.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 17:54
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 17:54
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 18:25
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 18:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.80%E -3.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 17:58
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.40%E -3.39%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 17:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.40%E -3.39%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.82%E -2.05%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.99%E -3.79%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 19:19
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.63%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 19:54
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.63%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.21%E -2.61%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 19:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%EV -5.63%E -2.42%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -5.40%E -3.39%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 17:55
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.02%E -1.85%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 19:40
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.61%E -2.23%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 18:29
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 18:00
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.85%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.59%E -4.19%K -11.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 17:58
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.87%E -3.94%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.18%E -4.60%K -12.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 19:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -12.92%E -6.01%K -11.24%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.58%EV -9.56%E -6.29%K -18.39%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-19 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-19 19:54
Polymarket◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-09-19 19:00
Novig◎2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%4.1%2026-09-19 19:55
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 40.96%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.04%10.0%2026-09-19 18:59