Language:English
New York Mets v Philadelphia Phillies
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 41.12%2.43fair odd
EV -0.088%
Edge -0.036%
Kelly -0.062%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%40.97%41.12%42.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.342.352.4346.51%42.67%42.55%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)
Prediction 58.88%1.70fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.996%
Kelly -2.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.84%59.03%58.88%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.611.611.6766.23%62.26%62.11%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 41.12%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 58.88%. For New York Mets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.432. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.430, with an expected value of -0.088%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.088%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 16:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.088%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 16:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.088%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 16:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.088%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 16:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.088%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 16:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.088%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 16:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.088%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 16:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.088%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 16:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.088%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 16:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.25%EV -0.088%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.75%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 16:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.32%E -0.551%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.37%E -4.01%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-20 17:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.32%E -0.551%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.14%E -5.22%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 17:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.32%E -0.551%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -8.14%E -5.22%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 16:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.32%E -0.551%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.73%E -5.63%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 17:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.32%E -0.551%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.73%E -5.63%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 17:08 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -1.73%E -0.725%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -2.25%E -1.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-20 16:48 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -2.14%E -0.901%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -1.66%E -0.996%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-20 17:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -2.14%E -0.901%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -8.73%E -5.63%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 16:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -2.14%E -0.901%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -8.73%E -5.63%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 16:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -2.56%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -1.66%E -0.996%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-20 13:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.56%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.20%E -3.23%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 13:33 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -2.56%E -1.08%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.20%E -3.23%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 13:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-20 13:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.38%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.66%E -0.996%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-20 13:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.38%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.66%E -0.996%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-20 13:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -3.38%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -1.66%E -0.996%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-20 13:47 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.38%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 16:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.38%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 17:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.38%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 13:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.38%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 15:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.38%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 15:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.38%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 15:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.38%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 15:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.38%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.37%E -4.01%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 15:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -3.38%E -1.44%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -9.91%E -6.48%K -18.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-20 17:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -3.79%E -1.62%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -1.66%E -0.996%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-20 13:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%EV -3.79%E -1.62%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%EV -2.25%E -1.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-20 13:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.79%E -1.62%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.02%E -2.47%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-20 16:58 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -3.79%E -1.62%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.20%E -3.23%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 15:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.20%E -1.80%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -5.20%E -3.23%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 13:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -4.20%E -1.80%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -11.09%E -7.34%K -21.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-20 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -4.61%E -1.99%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -4.02%E -2.47%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-20 17:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.61%E -1.99%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 16:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.02%E -2.17%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.20%E -3.23%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.66%E -0.996%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.66%E -0.996%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.84%E -1.72%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-20 14:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.84%E -1.72%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-20 13:28 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.02%E -2.47%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 13:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 13:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 14:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 15:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 17:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.61%E -2.84%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.43%E -2.36%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.55%E -4.81%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 14:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -5.84%E -2.55%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -5.20%E -3.23%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 17:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.67%E -2.94%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.02%E -2.47%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 16:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.67%E -2.94%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.02%E -2.47%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 16:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.49%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.43%E -2.09%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 14:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.49%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.43%E -2.09%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 14:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.49%E -3.33%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.79%E -3.62%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 15:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.36%EV -7.90%E -3.53%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.64%EV -6.96%E -4.41%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-20 16:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.60%E -5.40%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.32%E -6.05%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74% | 0.1% | 2026-09-20 17:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-09-20 17:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-09-20 17:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-09-20 17:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-09-20 17:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-09-20 17:04 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-09-20 14:14 |
| Novig◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-09-20 17:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35% | 2.6% | 2026-09-20 17:09 |