赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

New York Mets v Philadelphia Phillies

2026-09-20 17:11 UTC — MLB

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New York Mets (主队)

预测 40.44%2.47公平赔率
EV -2.13%
优势 -0.879%
Kelly -1.50%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.42

博彩公司预测分布
39.55%40.39%40.53%41.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.362.382.4246.51%42.42%42.11%41.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

Philadelphia Phillies (客队)

预测 59.56%1.68公平赔率
EV -1.14%
优势 -0.685%
Kelly -1.72%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.66

博彩公司预测分布
58.58%59.61%59.47%60.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.521.601.601.6665.79%62.56%62.50%60.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：New York Mets (主队)：40.44%；Philadelphia Phillies (客队)：59.56%。 对于“Philadelphia Phillies (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.68。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为1.66，期望值为-1.14%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
GTbets🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%EV -2.13%E -0.879%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%EV -1.73%E -1.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-19 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.94%E -1.22%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.73%E -1.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-19 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.94%E -1.22%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.73%E -1.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-19 18:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.94%E -1.22%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.11%E -2.56%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-19 19:09
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.94%E -1.22%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.11%E -2.56%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-19 19:44
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.94%E -1.22%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 17:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.94%E -1.22%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.31%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 17:54
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.94%E -1.22%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.94%E -1.22%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.94%E -1.22%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 18:00
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.99%EV -3.34%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.01%EV -1.14%E -0.685%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-19 18:11
Caesars🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.34%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.11%E -2.56%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-19 19:39
BetUS🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.73%E -1.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-19 20:49
Bet Right🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 18:00
DraftKings🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-19 20:49
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 17:54
SportsBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -4.15%E -1.75%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.31%EV -7.09%E -4.55%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 17:54
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.11%E -2.56%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 17:54
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.11%E -2.56%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-19 18:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 17:58
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.71%E -2.94%K -7.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 20:49
ReBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.31%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 17:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.31%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 18:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.96%E -2.11%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.90%E -3.73%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 19:19
Betsson🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.77%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.11%E -2.56%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 19:54
NordicBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.77%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.11%E -2.56%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 19:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%EV -5.77%E -2.47%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%EV -5.31%E -3.34%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 17:55
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.52%E -2.17%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-19 18:29
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 18:00
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.98%E -3.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.50%E -4.14%K -11.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 17:58
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.00%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.09%E -4.55%K -12.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 19:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -13.05%E -6.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.58%EV -9.47%E -6.23%K -18.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-19 18:00
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-19 20:30
Polymarket◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%0.9%2026-09-19 20:34
Novig◎2.41I 41.49%NM 40.49%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.51%2.5%2026-09-19 20:49
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 40.96%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.04%10.0%2026-09-19 18:59