默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New York Mets v Miami Marlins

开赛时间: 2026-05-30 20:31 UTC

最终结果: New York Mets 6–1 Miami Marlins

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

61 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New York Mets (主队)

预测 53.32%1.88公平赔率
EV -1.35%
优势 -0.732%
Kelly -1.59%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布
52.63%53.43%53.25%55.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.791.801.8558.82%55.95%55.56%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

Miami Marlins (客队)

预测 46.68%2.14公平赔率
EV +0.358%
优势 +0.167%
Kelly +0.311%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 2.15

博彩公司预测分布
44.73%46.57%46.75%47.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.922.052.052.1552.08%48.81%48.78%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:New York Mets (主队):53.32%;Miami Marlins (客队):46.68%。 对于“Miami Marlins (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.14。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.15,对应+0.358%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.22%E -4.15%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.358%E +0.167%K +0.311%G +0.001%4.0%2026-05-30 02:49
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.04%E -0.492%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-30 20:09
Everygame🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.95%E -1.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.04%E -0.492%K -0.931%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-30 19:29
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.98%E -0.941%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-30 20:20
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -1.98%E -0.941%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 19:30
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.98%E -0.941%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 18:00
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.98%E -0.941%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 17:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.35%E -5.50%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.98%E -0.941%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 12:20
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.91%E -1.40%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 17:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.91%E -1.40%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 20:30
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.35%E -0.732%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.38%E -1.63%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-30 20:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.21%EV -2.95%E -1.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.79%EV -3.38%E -1.63%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-30 19:39
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.15%E -3.50%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.38%E -1.63%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 17:59
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.15%E -3.50%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.38%E -1.63%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 20:18
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.35%E -0.732%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-30 20:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.35%E -0.732%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-30 20:30
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 19:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.49%E -1.93%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 19:28
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.49%E -1.93%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 19:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.49%E -1.93%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 19:39
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 19:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 19:30
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 19:30
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 19:30
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 20:00
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 19:30
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.55%E -2.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 19:30
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 19:30
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 19:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.15%E -3.50%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.15%E -3.50%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 19:30
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 19:30
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.75%E -4.48%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 20:30
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:40
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:39
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:39
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:39
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:39
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:40
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 19:30
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.55%E -2.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 19:40
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.55%E -2.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 19:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 19:39
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 19:40
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 19:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 20:25
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 20:20
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 20:10
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 20:30
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 18:00
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 20:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -8.29%E -4.82%K -11.51%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -10.38%E -5.41%K -11.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 20:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-05-30 19:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-05-30 20:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-05-30 20:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-05-30 20:30
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-05-30 20:30
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-30 20:30
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-05-30 20:30
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-05-30 20:30
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%7.1%2026-05-30 20:30
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 53.31%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.69%11.0%2026-05-30 20:30