مدرسة الاحتمالات

New York Mets v Miami Marlins

البداية: 2026-05-30 20:31 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: New York Mets 6–1 Miami Marlins

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

New York Mets (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.32%1.88السعر العادل
EV -1.35%
الأفضلية -0.732%
Kelly -1.59%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
52.63%53.43%53.25%55.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.791.801.8558.82%55.95%55.56%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Miami Marlins (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.68%2.14السعر العادل
EV +0.358%
الأفضلية +0.167%
Kelly +0.311%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.73%46.57%46.75%47.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.922.052.052.1552.08%48.81%48.78%46.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.22%E -4.15%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.358%E +0.167%K +0.311%G +0.001%4.0%2026-05-30 02:49
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.04%E -0.492%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-30 20:09
Everygame1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.95%E -1.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.04%E -0.492%K -0.931%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-30 19:29
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.98%E -0.941%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-30 20:20
ReBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -1.98%E -0.941%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 19:30
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.98%E -0.941%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 18:00
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.98%E -0.941%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 17:59
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.35%E -5.50%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.98%E -0.941%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 12:20
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.91%E -1.40%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 17:59
Dabble (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.91%E -1.40%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 20:30
BetAnything1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.35%E -0.732%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.38%E -1.63%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-30 20:09
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 53.21%EV -2.95%E -1.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.79%EV -3.38%E -1.63%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-30 19:39
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.15%E -3.50%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.38%E -1.63%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 17:59
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.15%E -3.50%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.38%E -1.63%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 20:18
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.35%E -0.732%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-30 20:30
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.35%E -0.732%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-30 20:30
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 19:30
MyBookie.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.49%E -1.93%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 19:28
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.49%E -1.93%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 19:39
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.49%E -1.93%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 19:39
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 19:29
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 19:30
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 19:30
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 19:30
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 20:00
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 19:30
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.55%E -2.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 19:30
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 19:30
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 19:50
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 19:29
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.15%E -3.50%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 20:00
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.15%E -3.50%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 19:30
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 19:30
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 19:30
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 19:30
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.75%E -4.48%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 15:30
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 20:30
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:40
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:39
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:39
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:39
Bally Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:40
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:39
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:40
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 19:30
Betsson1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.55%E -2.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 19:40
NordicBet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.55%E -2.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 19:30
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 19:39
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 19:39
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 19:40
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 19:39
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 20:25
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 20:20
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 20:10
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 20:30
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 18:00
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 20:20
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -8.29%E -4.82%K -11.51%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -10.38%E -5.41%K -11.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 20:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-05-30 19:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-05-30 20:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-05-30 20:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-05-30 20:30
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-05-30 20:30
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-30 20:30
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-05-30 20:30
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-05-30 20:30
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%7.1%2026-05-30 20:30
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 53.31%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.69%11.0%2026-05-30 20:30