StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

New York Mets v Miami Marlins

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-30 20:31 UTC

Endstand: New York Mets 6–1 Miami Marlins

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

61 Wettanbieter (20 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

New York Mets (Heim)

Prognose 53.32%1.88faire Quote
EV -1.35%
Vorteil -0.732%
Kelly -1.59%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.85

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
52.63%53.43%53.25%55.27%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.701.791.801.8558.82%55.95%55.56%54.05%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Miami Marlins (Auswärts)

Prognose 46.68%2.14faire Quote
EV +0.358%
Vorteil +0.167%
Kelly +0.311%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.15

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
44.73%46.57%46.75%47.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.922.052.052.1552.08%48.81%48.78%46.51%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: New York Mets (Heim): 53.32%; Miami Marlins (Auswärts): 46.68%. Für Miami Marlins (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.14. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.15 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.358%.

Wettanbieterquoten (61 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -7.22%E -4.15%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV +0.358%E +0.167%K +0.311%G +0.001%4.0%2026-05-30 02:49
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -1.04%E -0.492%K -0.931%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-30 20:09
Everygame🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.95%E -1.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.04%E -0.492%K -0.931%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-30 19:29
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.98%E -0.941%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-30 20:20
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -1.98%E -0.941%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-30 19:30
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.98%E -0.941%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 18:00
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.98%E -0.941%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 17:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.35%E -5.50%K -13.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.98%E -0.941%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 12:20
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.91%E -1.40%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 17:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -2.91%E -1.40%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 20:30
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -1.35%E -0.732%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -3.38%E -1.63%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-30 20:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.21%EV -2.95%E -1.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.79%EV -3.38%E -1.63%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-30 19:39
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.15%E -3.50%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.38%E -1.63%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 17:59
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.15%E -3.50%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.38%E -1.63%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 20:18
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.35%E -0.732%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-30 20:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -1.35%E -0.732%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-30 20:30
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -3.84%E -1.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 19:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.49%E -1.93%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 19:28
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.49%E -1.93%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 19:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.49%E -1.93%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 19:39
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 19:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 19:30
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 19:30
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 19:30
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 20:00
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 19:30
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.55%E -2.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 19:30
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 19:30
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.62%E -3.18%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 19:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.15%E -3.50%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.15%E -3.50%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 19:30
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 19:30
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.75%E -4.48%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.31%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.42%E -1.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 20:30
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:40
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:39
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:39
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:39
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:39
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.78%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 19:40
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 19:30
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.55%E -2.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 19:40
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.55%E -2.54%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 19:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 19:39
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 19:40
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.71%E -2.83%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 19:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 20:25
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 20:20
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 20:10
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.02%E -2.23%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 20:30
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 18:00
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 20:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -8.29%E -4.82%K -11.51%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -10.38%E -5.41%K -11.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 20:20
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-05-30 19:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-05-30 20:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-05-30 20:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-05-30 20:30
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-05-30 20:30
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-05-30 20:30
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-05-30 20:30
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.9%2026-05-30 20:30
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%7.1%2026-05-30 20:30
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 53.31%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.69%11.0%2026-05-30 20:30