Language:English
New York Mets v Los Angeles Dodgers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 42.32%2.36fair odd
EV -0.543%
Edge -0.231%
Kelly -0.402%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.63%42.26%42.41%43.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.272.272.3545.87%44.01%44.05%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit)
Prediction 57.68%1.73fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -2.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.70%57.74%57.59%59.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.651.651.7064.10%60.69%60.61%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 42.32%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit): 57.68%. For New York Mets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.35, with an expected value of -0.543%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.543%E -0.231%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.14%E -4.43%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-26 15:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.966%E -0.413%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-26 17:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -1.39%E -0.596%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-26 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -1.39%E -0.596%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-26 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.39%E -0.596%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.39%E -0.596%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-26 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.39%E -0.596%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.39%E -0.596%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.39%E -0.596%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-26 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.39%E -0.596%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.39%E -0.596%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.39%E -0.596%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.81%E -0.781%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.14%E -4.43%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.81%E -0.781%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.14%E -4.43%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.81%E -0.781%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.14%E -4.43%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.24%E -0.968%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.95%E -1.15%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-26 17:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.24%E -0.968%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.95%E -1.15%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-26 17:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -2.66%E -1.16%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.95%E -1.15%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-26 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -2.66%E -1.16%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.95%E -1.15%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-26 17:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.66%E -1.16%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.68%E -2.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.66%E -1.16%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-26 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.66%E -1.16%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.66%E -1.16%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.66%E -1.16%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.66%E -1.16%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.72%E -4.82%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-26 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.08%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.95%E -1.15%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-26 17:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -3.08%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-26 17:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.51%E -1.54%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-26 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.51%E -1.54%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.51%E -1.54%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-26 17:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -3.51%E -1.54%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -10.02%E -6.42%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-26 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.93%E -1.73%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.68%E -2.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-26 15:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-26 15:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.68%E -2.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-26 15:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.52%E -1.49%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-26 15:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.52%E -1.49%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-26 15:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-26 15:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.68%E -2.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-26 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.68%E -2.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.68%E -2.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-26 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-26 15:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-26 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.41%E -3.30%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-26 15:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.41%E -3.30%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.99%E -3.67%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-26 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.20%E -2.32%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-26 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.20%E -2.32%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.62%E -2.52%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-26 15:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.62%E -2.52%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-26 16:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.04%E -2.72%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 15:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.04%E -2.72%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 15:11 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.68%E -2.20%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-26 17:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 15:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-26 17:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.72%E -4.82%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.72%E -4.82%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-26 17:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.74%E -3.55%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-26 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -7.74%E -3.55%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -7.14%E -4.43%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-26 17:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.39I 41.84%NM 41.85% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.15% | -0.0% | 2026-07-26 17:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 0.2% | 2026-07-26 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 0.2% | 2026-07-26 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 0.2% | 2026-07-26 17:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-07-26 17:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-07-26 15:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27% | 1.5% | 2026-07-26 17:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17% | 1.7% | 2026-07-26 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.3% | 2026-07-26 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50% | 3.0% | 2026-07-26 17:40 |
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