Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets v Los Angeles Dodgers

Inicio: 2026-07-26 17:41 UTC

Final: New York Mets 8–3 Los Angeles Dodgers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Mets (Local)

Predicción 42.32%2.36momio equitativo
EV -0.543%
Ventaja -0.231%
Kelly -0.402%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.63%42.26%42.41%43.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.182.272.272.3545.87%44.01%44.05%42.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 57.68%1.73momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -2.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.70%57.74%57.59%59.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.561.651.651.7064.10%60.69%60.61%58.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Mets (Local): 42.32%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante): 57.68%. Para New York Mets (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.36. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.35, con un valor esperado de -0.543%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.543%E -0.231%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.14%E -4.43%K -11.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 15:10
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.966%E -0.413%K -0.721%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 17:39
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -1.39%E -0.596%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-26 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV -1.39%E -0.596%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-26 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.39%E -0.596%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.39%E -0.596%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:00
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.39%E -0.596%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:30
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.39%E -0.596%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.39%E -0.596%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.39%E -0.596%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:30
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.39%E -0.596%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:30
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.39%E -0.596%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.81%E -0.781%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.14%E -4.43%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 17:30
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.81%E -0.781%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.14%E -4.43%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -1.81%E -0.781%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.14%E -4.43%K -11.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 17:30
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.24%E -0.968%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.95%E -1.15%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-26 17:10
GTbets🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.24%E -0.968%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -1.95%E -1.15%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-26 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -2.66%E -1.16%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.95%E -1.15%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 17:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -2.66%E -1.16%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -1.95%E -1.15%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 17:25
ReBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.66%E -1.16%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.68%E -2.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-26 17:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.66%E -1.16%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.66%E -1.16%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 17:05
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.66%E -1.16%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 17:05
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.66%E -1.16%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 17:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.66%E -1.16%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.72%E -4.82%K -12.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 13:55
BetUS🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -3.08%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -1.95%E -1.15%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-26 17:25
BetAnything🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -3.08%E -1.35%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-26 17:25
MyBookie.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.51%E -1.54%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 17:40
DraftKings🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.51%E -1.54%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 17:35
Bovada🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.51%E -1.54%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 17:34
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -3.51%E -1.54%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -10.02%E -6.42%K -17.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.93%E -1.73%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -3.68%E -2.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 15:40
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-26 15:05
Caesars🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.68%E -2.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 15:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.52%E -1.49%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-26 15:05
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.52%E -1.49%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-26 15:40
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 15:10
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.68%E -2.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.68%E -2.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 17:05
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.68%E -2.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 17:05
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 15:05
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 15:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.41%E -3.30%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 15:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.41%E -3.30%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 17:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.99%E -3.67%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 17:35
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 17:40
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.77%E -2.12%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 17:35
Bet Right🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.20%E -2.32%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 16:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -5.20%E -2.32%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 17:05
SportsBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.62%E -2.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 15:05
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.62%E -2.52%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 16:25
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.04%E -2.72%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 15:10
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.04%E -2.72%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.25%E -2.56%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 15:11
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.10%E -1.85%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 17:30
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.68%E -2.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 17:05
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 15:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.56%E -4.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 17:35
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.72%E -4.82%K -12.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 17:30
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.89%E -3.13%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.72%E -4.82%K -12.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 17:29
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.74%E -3.55%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -4.83%E -2.93%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -7.74%E -3.55%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%EV -7.14%E -4.43%K -11.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 17:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.39I 41.84%NM 41.85%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.15%-0.0%2026-07-26 17:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-07-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-07-26 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-07-26 17:40
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-07-26 17:30
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-07-26 15:10
ProphetX2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%1.5%2026-07-26 17:40
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%1.7%2026-07-26 17:40
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.3%2026-07-26 17:40
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%3.0%2026-07-26 17:40