Language:English
New York Mets v Kansas City Royals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Mets (Local)
Prediction 56.38%1.77fair odd
EV +0.361%
Edge +0.203%
Kelly +0.463%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%56.16%56.41%58.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.681.691.7862.50%59.37%59.17%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kansas City Royals (Visit)
Prediction 43.62%2.29fair odd
EV +1.63%
Edge +0.699%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 2.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.48%43.84%43.59%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.212.202.3348.78%45.25%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Mets (Local): 56.38%; Kansas City Royals (Visit): 43.62%. For Kansas City Royals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.29. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.63%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -6.40%E -3.86%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV +1.63%E +0.699%K +1.22%G +0.020% | 3.2% | 2026-07-07 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.320%E +0.139%K +0.246%G +0.001% | 4.5% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.320%E +0.139%K +0.246%G +0.001% | 4.5% | 2026-07-07 22:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -8.10%E -4.97%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV +0.320%E +0.139%K +0.246%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -8.10%E -4.97%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV +0.320%E +0.139%K +0.246%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -8.10%E -4.97%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV +0.320%E +0.139%K +0.246%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -8.10%E -4.97%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV +0.320%E +0.139%K +0.246%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -8.10%E -4.97%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV +0.320%E +0.139%K +0.246%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -8.10%E -4.97%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV +0.320%E +0.139%K +0.246%G +0.001% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.02%E -1.76%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.552%E -0.242%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-07 21:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.10%E -4.97%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.552%E -0.242%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 22:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.10%E -4.97%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.552%E -0.242%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.10%E -4.97%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.552%E -0.242%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.10%E -4.97%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.552%E -0.242%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.46%E -1.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -0.989%E -0.436%K -0.778%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.46%E -1.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.42%E -0.630%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-07 21:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.59%E -2.10%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.42%E -0.630%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-07 22:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.59%E -2.10%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.42%E -0.630%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-07 21:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.89%E -1.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.86%E -0.827%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.71%E -2.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.86%E -0.827%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-07 21:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.71%E -2.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.86%E -0.827%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-07 22:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.79%E -6.12%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -1.86%E -0.827%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.46%E -1.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.30%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.46%E -1.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.30%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-07 22:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.15%E -2.44%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.17%E -1.43%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-07 21:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.71%E -2.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.17%E -1.43%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-07 23:08 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.59%E -2.10%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-07 21:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.15%E -2.44%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.15%E -2.44%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 21:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.15%E -2.44%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 21:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.15%E -2.44%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 21:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.71%E -2.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-07 21:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.71%E -2.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-07 21:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 21:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 21:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 21:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 21:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 23:24 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.97%E -4.22%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-07 21:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.71%E -2.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 21:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.28%E -3.14%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 21:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.59%E -2.10%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.91%E -2.25%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-07 21:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.71%E -2.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.91%E -2.25%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 21:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.28%E -3.14%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.91%E -2.25%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 21:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.28%E -3.14%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.91%E -2.25%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 21:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.71%E -2.79%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.35%E -2.47%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.46%E -1.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.22%E -2.89%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.59%E -2.10%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.22%E -2.89%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 23:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.59%E -2.10%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.22%E -2.89%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.15%E -2.44%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.22%E -2.89%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 21:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.15%E -2.44%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.22%E -2.89%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 21:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.15%E -2.44%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.22%E -2.89%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 21:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.22%E -2.89%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-07 22:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.22%E -2.89%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-07 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.22%E -2.89%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-07 23:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.22%E -2.89%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-07 21:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV +0.361%E +0.203%K +0.463%G +0.002% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -8.40%E -4.00%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-07 23:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.203%E -0.115%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -8.40%E -4.00%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-07 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.89%E -1.09%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.58%E -5.16%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-07 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.02%E -1.76%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.58%E -5.16%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-07 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.15%E -2.44%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.58%E -5.16%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-07 23:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 0.3% | 2026-07-07 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-07-07 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-07-07 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56% | 0.7% | 2026-07-07 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07% | 0.9% | 2026-07-07 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-07-07 22:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-07-07 22:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14% | 1.7% | 2026-07-07 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 2.4% | 2026-07-07 22:45 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73% | 3.9% | 2026-07-07 22:59 |