L’École des cotes

New York Mets v Kansas City Royals

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-07 23:11 UTC

Score final : New York Mets 12–16 Kansas City Royals

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

New York Mets (Local)

Prévision 56.38%1.77cote équitable
EV +0.361%
Avantage +0.203%
Kelly +0.463%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.09%56.16%56.41%58.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.681.691.7862.50%59.37%59.17%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kansas City Royals (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.62%2.29cote équitable
EV +1.63%
Avantage +0.699%
Kelly +1.22%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.48%43.84%43.59%45.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.212.202.3348.78%45.25%45.45%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -6.40%E -3.86%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.60%EV +1.63%E +0.699%K +1.22%G +0.020%3.2%2026-07-07 22:59
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.320%E +0.139%K +0.246%G +0.001%4.5%2026-07-07 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -7.53%E -4.59%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV +0.320%E +0.139%K +0.246%G +0.001%4.5%2026-07-07 22:59
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -8.10%E -4.97%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV +0.320%E +0.139%K +0.246%G +0.001%4.8%2026-07-07 22:50
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -8.10%E -4.97%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV +0.320%E +0.139%K +0.246%G +0.001%4.8%2026-07-07 22:50
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -8.10%E -4.97%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV +0.320%E +0.139%K +0.246%G +0.001%4.8%2026-07-07 22:50
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -8.10%E -4.97%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV +0.320%E +0.139%K +0.246%G +0.001%4.8%2026-07-07 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -8.10%E -4.97%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV +0.320%E +0.139%K +0.246%G +0.001%4.8%2026-07-07 22:50
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -8.10%E -4.97%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV +0.320%E +0.139%K +0.246%G +0.001%4.8%2026-07-07 22:50
Everygame1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -3.02%E -1.76%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -0.552%E -0.242%K -0.432%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-07 21:59
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.10%E -4.97%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.552%E -0.242%K -0.432%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 22:59
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.10%E -4.97%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.552%E -0.242%K -0.432%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 23:00
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.10%E -4.97%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.552%E -0.242%K -0.432%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 23:00
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -8.10%E -4.97%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -0.552%E -0.242%K -0.432%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 23:00
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%EV -2.46%E -1.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%EV -0.989%E -0.436%K -0.778%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-07 22:50
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.46%E -1.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.42%E -0.630%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-07 21:34
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.59%E -2.10%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.42%E -0.630%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-07 22:59
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -3.59%E -2.10%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -1.42%E -0.630%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-07 21:30
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.89%E -1.09%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.86%E -0.827%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-07 23:05
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.71%E -2.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.86%E -0.827%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 21:10
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.71%E -2.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -1.86%E -0.827%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-07 22:19
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -9.79%E -6.12%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -1.86%E -0.827%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 22:50
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.46%E -1.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.30%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-07 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.46%E -1.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.30%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-07 22:50
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.15%E -2.44%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.17%E -1.43%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 21:29
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.71%E -2.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.17%E -1.43%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-07 23:08
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.59%E -2.10%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-07 21:25
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.15%E -2.44%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 22:25
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.15%E -2.44%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 21:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.15%E -2.44%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 21:05
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.15%E -2.44%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 21:05
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.71%E -2.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 21:49
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.71%E -2.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 21:25
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 21:10
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 21:10
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 21:10
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 21:10
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 23:24
Dabble (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 23:09
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.97%E -4.22%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 21:24
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -4.71%E -2.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 21:24
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.28%E -3.14%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 21:34
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.59%E -2.10%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.91%E -2.25%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-07 21:09
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.71%E -2.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.91%E -2.25%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 21:24
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.28%E -3.14%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.91%E -2.25%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 21:09
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.28%E -3.14%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.91%E -2.25%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 21:10
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.71%E -2.79%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.35%E -2.47%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.46%E -1.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -6.22%E -2.89%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 22:25
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.59%E -2.10%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.22%E -2.89%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 23:10
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.59%E -2.10%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.22%E -2.89%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 21:55
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.15%E -2.44%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.22%E -2.89%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 21:30
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.15%E -2.44%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.22%E -2.89%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 21:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.15%E -2.44%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.22%E -2.89%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 21:24
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.22%E -2.89%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 22:24
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.22%E -2.89%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 22:59
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.22%E -2.89%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 23:10
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.84%E -3.50%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.22%E -2.89%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 21:24
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV +0.361%E +0.203%K +0.463%G +0.002%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -8.40%E -4.00%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-07 23:10
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -0.203%E -0.115%K -0.263%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -8.40%E -4.00%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.89%E -1.09%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.58%E -5.16%K -10.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.02%E -1.76%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.58%E -5.16%K -10.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 23:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.15%E -2.44%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.58%E -5.16%K -10.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 23:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-07-07 23:10
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-07 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-07 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-07 23:10
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%0.9%2026-07-07 23:10
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-07 22:30
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-07-07 22:20
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.7%2026-07-07 23:10
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%2.4%2026-07-07 22:45
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%3.9%2026-07-07 22:59